Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia FC Predictions & Odds - La Liga Picks

The La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia FC at San Mamés is poised to be a captivating encounter for soccer betting enthusiasts. Scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026, at 10:15 AM, this Matchday 35 showdown brings two teams with contrasting ambitions and recent performances. Athletic Bilbao, sitting 8th in the table with 44 points, are eager to push for European qualification, while Valencia, placed 12th with 39 points, aim to steer clear of the relegation zone. Both teams have demonstrated fluctuating form, making this clash a potential nail-biter for fans and bettors alike.

Athletic Bilbao have managed an average of 1.14 goals per game this season, showcasing a solid, if not always spectacular, attack. Meanwhile, Valencia's defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 1.43 goals per game, which could be a key vulnerability in this fixture. The hosts' home advantage is notable, with a respectable record at San Mamés, while Valencia's away struggles continue to hinder their progress. With both sides boasting key players and tactical nuances, this match offers plenty of intrigue for those keen on soccer betting.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia FC

Prediction 1: Home Win for Athletic Bilbao

Our soccer betting pick leans towards a home victory for Athletic Bilbao. With a relatively strong home record of 9 wins from 17 matches and the motivation of European spots within reach, Ernesto Valverde’s side looks set to capitalize on Valencia’s defensive frailties. Given Valencia's challenges on the road, this appears to be a promising bet. The odds from Bet365 are set at -143, reinforcing the home advantage factor.

Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score

Our soccer betting prediction suggests that both teams will score in this encounter. Despite Valencia's defensive woes, their attacking prowess, spearheaded by players like Hugo Duro, should see them find the net. Athletic Bilbao have been scoring consistently at home, making this an enticing market at odds of -114 from BetMGM Sportsbook.

Prediction 3: Under 2.5 Goals

Our soccer predictions also include a bet on Under 2.5 goals. Despite the potential for both sides to score, their recent head-to-head encounters have been relatively low-scoring. With Athletic Bilbao averaging 1.14 goals per match and Valencia often finding it hard to score away from home, this prediction offers good value at odds of -110.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

12

Athletic Bilbao have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Valencia FC have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Athletic Bilbao have drawn or lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

Valencia FC have won or drawn 2 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Athletic Bilbao's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Valencia FC's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Athletic Bilbao

Under Ernesto Valverde, Athletic Bilbao have shown resilience, especially at home. With 44 points, they sit in 8th place, boasting 13 wins, 5 ties, and 16 losses. Their recent 4-2 win against Deportivo Alavés highlights their attacking potential. However, inconsistency has plagued them, evidenced by their 3 losses in the last 5 matches.

Valencia FC

Valencia's season under Carlos Corberán has been turbulent. Positioned 12th with 39 points, they've recorded 10 wins, 9 ties, and 15 losses. Their away form is concerning, with only 3 wins from 17 matches. Despite a 2-1 win over Girona, their recent 0-2 home loss to Atlético Madrid underscores their defensive vulnerabilities.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Gorka Guruzeta remains a pivotal figure for Athletic Bilbao, with an impressive goal tally and efficiency at home. Nico Williams' recent performance against Alavés, where he scored twice, indicates his return to form. For Valencia, Hugo Duro's presence up front is crucial, although his shot accuracy leaves room for improvement. Largie Ramazani's clinical finishing offers a glimmer of hope for Valencia's attack. Both teams need to address their defensive concerns to change their fortunes.

Last Direct Match

The previous encounter saw Athletic Bilbao securing a 2-1 victory away at Valencia, adding psychological edge for this fixture.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Athletic Bilbao

Last games

Athletic Bilbao performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

60%

Over 2.5

60%

Valencia FC

Last games

Valencia FC performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

20%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer betting tips for Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia FC lean heavily toward a home win due to Athletic's strong record at San Mamés and Valencia's away struggles. Both teams are expected to find the net, given their attacking capabilities, but a low-scoring game is anticipated due to their recent head-to-head results. These predictions, backed by thorough analysis, offer promising betting opportunities for this La Liga showdown.