Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions & Odds - La Liga Picks

As we gear up for Matchday 32 of La Liga, Atlético Madrid will host Athletic Bilbao at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on April 25, 2026. This clash has significant implications for both teams, with Atlético Madrid eager to close the gap on the top three and Athletic Bilbao fighting to climb further up the table. Given the history and current form of both teams, soccer betting enthusiasts are in for an intriguing matchup.

Atlético Madrid currently sits in 4th place with 57 points, striving to surpass Villarreal and Real Madrid above them. Under the leadership of Diego Simeone, Atlético has maintained a strong home record, but recent injuries may affect their attacking prowess. On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao, positioned 12th, will look to capitalize on their recent unbeaten streak, despite struggling to convert ties into wins. The average goals per game for both teams stand as a crucial statistic; Atlético scores 1.64 per match, while Bilbao nets 1.13 on average. These numbers hint at a potentially tight contest with limited scoring opportunities.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Under 2.5 Goals

Given the recent trends of both teams, betting on under 2.5 goals seems a wise choice. Athletic Bilbao has consistently seen games with fewer goals, owing to their solid defense and struggles upfront. Atlético's recent injuries further weaken their attacking options, suggesting a low-scoring affair. The odds at BetMGM Sportsbook are -110 for under 2.5 goals, reflecting the likelihood of this outcome.

Both Teams to Score - YES

Despite the prediction of a low-goal match, both teams possess the ability to find the net. Atlético has the home advantage, and Bilbao's determination to push forward might see both teams scoring. The odds for both teams to score are -133, available at Bet365, making this a favorable market for this encounter.

Athletic Bilbao +1 Handicap

Considering Atlético's weakened squad and Bilbao's recent form, betting on Athletic Bilbao with a +1 handicap provides a safety net. This market covers a potential tie or narrow loss for Bilbao, while still offering value. Bet365 offers odds of +210 for this bet, which seems appealing given the circumstances.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Handicap 1-0

Draw

Atlético Madrid have lost by exactly 1 goals 5 of their last 7 matches.

Athletic Bilbao have won by exactly 1 goals 1 of their last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Atlético Madrid's last 7 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Athletic Bilbao's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

12

Atlético Madrid have won or lost 6 of their last 7 matches.

Athletic Bilbao have won or lost 3 of their last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Atlético Madrid's Current Form

Atlético Madrid has experienced inconsistent performances recently, with a record of 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last outing saw a 2-3 loss against Elche CF, emphasizing their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite a strong home record, Diego Simeone's men are struggling to maintain consistency, holding a win percentage of 54.8% and conceding 1.03 goals per game.

Athletic Bilbao's Resilient Run

Athletic Bilbao has shown resilience with a recent record of 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. Their latest 1-0 victory over CA Osasuna highlighted their capacity to edge out narrow wins. Bilbao’s current standing in 12th place reflects their mixed season, with a win percentage of 38.7% and conceding 1.45 goals per match. However, their defensive solidity has been a key factor in recent performances.

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Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Atlético Madrid's squad will miss the attacking threat of Lookman and Sørloth due to injuries, which places extra responsibility on players like Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann to deliver. Athletic Bilbao's key players, including Yuri and A. Laporte, remain sidelined, limiting their options. Both teams' focus might be affected by upcoming fixtures, with Atlético having an eye on their Champions League semi-final against Arsenal. These factors could heavily influence the match dynamics and betting outcomes.

Last Direct Match: Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

The last encounter between the two sides ended in a narrow 1-0 victory for Athletic Bilbao, showcasing their ability to capitalize on Atlético's defensive lapses.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Atlético Madrid

Last games

Atlético Madrid performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

83%

Athletic Bilbao

Last games

Athletic Bilbao performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

25%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our betting tips for Atlético Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao lean towards a low-scoring match with under 2.5 goals due to Atlético's injuries and Bilbao's defensive strength. We also predict both teams to score, considering their offensive capabilities, despite recent struggles. Lastly, Athletic Bilbao's +1 handicap offers value, anticipating a close contest. These predictions consider current form, statistical trends, and external factors like upcoming fixtures.