Atlético Madrid vs Girona FC Predictions & Odds - La Liga Picks

As we approach the thrilling clash between Atlético Madrid and Girona FC on May 17, 2026, soccer betting enthusiasts are in for an exciting showdown. Set to take place at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, this La Liga Matchday 37 encounter is pivotal for both teams, albeit for different reasons. Atlético Madrid, under the leadership of Diego Simeone, aims to solidify their position for UEFA Champions League qualification, while Girona FC is fighting to avoid relegation. With an average of 60% possession per game, Atlético Madrid showcases their dominance, whereas Girona FC averages around 40% possession, a statistic that underscores their struggle this season. The home side also averages 5 shots on goal per game, compared to Girona's 3, reflecting their attacking prowess. The contrasting fortunes of these teams set the stage for intriguing soccer betting odds.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Atlético Madrid vs Girona FC

1. Home Win for Atlético Madrid

Our soccer betting prediction for this match leans heavily towards a home victory for Atlético Madrid. With a strong home record of 14 wins, 1 tie, and only 3 losses, Simeone's side is a formidable force at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Girona’s away struggles, highlighted by just 3 wins, 8 ties, and 7 losses, further support this prediction. Bet365 offers the best odds for a home win at -137, making this a smart choice for bettors.

2. Both Teams to Score

Considering the previous encounters, where both teams scored in 62% of the matches, our soccer predictions suggest both teams will find the net. Despite Girona's injury woes, their ability to score, coupled with Atlético's attacking mindset, points to goals from both sides. BetMGM Sportsbook provides odds of -147 for this market, presenting a promising betting opportunity.

3. Under 2.5 Goals

Despite the potential for both teams to score, the average goals per game between these sides suggest a tight encounter. Atlético Madrid's solid defense, coupled with Girona's injury-induced attacking limitations, could result in fewer goals. Bet365 offers odds of +110 for under 2.5 goals, making this a viable option for those seeking value in soccer betting.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Atlético Madrid's last 6 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Girona FC's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Atlético Madrid's last 6 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Girona FC's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Atlético Madrid have drawn or lost 3 of their last 6 matches.

Girona FC have won or drawn 2 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Atlético Madrid: Form and Standings

Atlético Madrid, currently 4th in the table with 66 points, has been in decent form. They have won 20 matches, tied 6, and lost 10, with an impressive home record. Diego Simeone's men have scored 60 goals and conceded 39, reflecting a strong balance between attack and defense. Their recent 2-1 away win against CA Osasuna further boosts their confidence heading into this match.

Girona FC: Form and Struggles

Girona FC finds themselves in a precarious position, sitting 19th with 39 points. The team has managed 9 wins, 12 ties, and suffered 14 losses. Their recent 1-1 tie against Real Sociedad highlights their inability to secure wins, compounded by their extensive injury list. With 37 goals scored and 52 conceded, Girona's defensive frailties are a concern.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Atlético Madrid's attack is spearheaded by Alexander Sørloth, who has averaged 0.33 goals per game this season. Julián Álvarez and Antoine Griezmann also contribute significantly, with a combined average of 0.42 goals per game. On the other hand, Girona's top scorer, Vanat, averages 0.28 goals per game. Atlético's squad depth and home advantage are crucial factors that could swing the match in their favor, especially with Girona's extensive injury list affecting their momentum.

Last Direct Match: Atlético Madrid vs Girona FC

The last meeting witnessed Atlético Madrid securing a convincing 3-0 away win, showcasing their dominance over Girona FC.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Atlético Madrid

Last games

Atlético Madrid performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

16%

Over 2.5

66%

Girona FC

Last games

Girona FC performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

25%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer picks for Atlético Madrid vs Girona FC focus on a home win, both teams to score, and under 2.5 goals. The home side's superior form, coupled with Girona's struggles and injuries, make an Atlético victory a strong bet. Historical data supports both teams finding the net, while the potential for a tight match suggests value in the under 2.5 goals market. With competitive odds across these markets, bettors can find value in this La Liga clash.