CA Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid Predictions & Odds - La Liga Picks

As the La Liga season draws to a close, the matchup between CA Osasuna and Atlético Madrid on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, presents a significant opportunity for soccer betting enthusiasts. With both teams experiencing mixed fortunes in recent matches, this game holds potential for intriguing betting opportunities. Osasuna, led by manager Alessio Lisci, sits comfortably mid-table, while Atlético Madrid, under the guidance of Diego Simeone, is vying to secure their Champions League qualification. The match will take place at El Sadar Stadium in Pamplona, and both teams have distinct playing styles that could impact the outcome. Osasuna averages around 42% ball possession per match, which is slightly below Atlético's 55%. In terms of shots on goal, Osasuna manages an average of 4.2 per match, while Atlético Madrid is slightly more aggressive with 5.1 shots on goal per game. These statistics help shape our betting predictions as we analyze the potential outcomes of the match.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for CA Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid

1. Match Result: Draw

Given Atlético Madrid's recent streak of ties, especially their last five games resulting in ties, this match could likely end in a tie as well. Osasuna's home form, combined with Atlético's away struggles, makes a case for a balanced contest. Bet365 offers odds of +230 for this outcome, making it an attractive option for those looking for a value bet.

2. Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both Osasuna and Atlético have shown their capability to find the back of the net in recent outings. With Osasuna averaging 1.47 goals per game and Atlético maintaining a strong offensive presence with key players like Alexander Sørloth, a match where both teams score seems plausible. Bet365 lists the odds at -149, reflecting the likelihood of this outcome. Don't miss out on placing your bet!

3. Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over

Osasuna's recent games have seen an average of over 2.5 goals, and Atlético's attacking prowess suggests this trend might continue. With Atlético's need to secure Champions League qualification, expect a high-scoring affair. The odds for over 2.5 goals stand at -125, providing a reasonable payout for this likely scenario.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

12

CA Osasuna have won or lost 4 of their last 4 matches.

Atlético Madrid have won or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of CA Osasuna's last 4 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Atlético Madrid's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 1 of CA Osasuna's last 4 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Atlético Madrid's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

CA Osasuna - Current Form

Osasuna currently occupies the 10th spot in La Liga with 42 points. Under Alessio Lisci, they have achieved a balanced record with 11 wins, 9 ties, and 15 losses. Their recent form includes a challenging stretch with only one win from their last five matches. Despite this, their home record is strong with 9 wins, 5 ties, and 3 losses.

Atlético Madrid - Current Form

Atlético Madrid is positioned 4th in the league with 64 points, showcasing a competitive edge with 19 wins, 7 ties, and 9 losses. Their recent performance is mixed, with two wins, one tie, and two losses in their last five matches. Away from home, they have struggled, with 5 wins, 5 ties, and 7 losses, highlighting a potential vulnerability.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Osasuna's Ante Budimir has been a standout performer, averaging 0.47 goals per game, making him a key threat against Atlético's defense. On the other hand, Atlético relies heavily on the creativity of Antoine Griezmann, who contributes significantly to their attacking plays, averaging 1.2 key passes per match. External factors, such as recent travel and Atlético's recent exit from the Champions League, might influence their performance, potentially giving Osasuna a slight edge in terms of freshness and preparation.

Last Direct Match: CA Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid

In their last encounter, Atlético Madrid emerged victorious with a 1-0 home win, adding to their historical dominance over Osasuna.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Osasuna: 1 win, 1 tie, 3 losses. Atlético Madrid: 2 wins, 1 tie, 2 losses.

Performance

CA Osasuna

Last games

CA Osasuna performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Atlético Madrid

Last games

Atlético Madrid performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

50%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer predictions for the CA Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid match suggest a tie with odds of +230, both teams scoring at odds of -149, and over 2.5 goals at odds of -125. These predictions are based on the current form, scoring trends, and historical performances of both teams. Atlético's recent drawing streak and Osasuna's strong home record make a tie highly probable, while both teams' scoring abilities indicate a high-scoring game.