Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions & Odds - La Liga Picks

As the La Liga season draws to a close, Deportivo Alavés prepares to host Rayo Vallecano on Saturday, May 23, 2026, at 15:00. The match, taking place at an undisclosed venue, marks the 38th matchday of the competition. Both teams are set to finish in the middle of the table, with Alavés currently in 14th place and Rayo in 8th. While the pressure is off in terms of relegation and European qualification, there's plenty of pride on the line. Alavés enters the match with a recent victory over Real Oviedo, and Rayo Vallecano comes off a strong 2-0 win against Villarreal. In terms of soccer betting, this game presents intriguing opportunities, with Alavés having scored an average of 1.17 goals per match and Rayo recording an average of 1.03 goals. Statistical analysis points to a potentially low-scoring affair, as both teams have shown defensive solidity in recent games.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano

1. Under 2.5 Goals

Given the recent trends, both Deportivo Alavés and Rayo Vallecano have been involved in matches where the total goals scored have frequently fallen below 2.5. Alavés' last four matches have seen fewer than 2.5 goals, while Rayo's recent outings have also followed a similar pattern. With both teams leaning towards defensive stability, betting on under 2.5 goals at -110 seems a solid choice.

2. Both Teams to Score

Our soccer betting prediction suggests that both teams will find the net. Despite their recent defensive performances, both teams have capable attacking players. Alavés has Toni Martínez and Lucas Boyé, who have collectively scored 23 goals this season, while Rayo's Jorge De Frutos is a consistent threat. The odds for both teams to score are -133, reflecting the likelihood of both sides hitting the back of the net.

3. Home Win Deportivo Alavés

Our soccer predictions favor a home win for Deportivo Alavés, with the odds standing at +145. With Rayo missing key players, including Isi Palazón due to suspension, and Alavés showing improved form at home, the hosts have a strong chance of clinching a victory. The tactical acumen of coach Quique Sánchez Flores could prove decisive in this encounter.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Deportivo Alavés's last 4 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Deportivo Alavés have drawn or lost 2 of their last 4 matches.

Rayo Vallecano have won or drawn 6 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Deportivo Alavés's last 4 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés currently sits in 14th place with 43 points, boasting a record of 11 wins, 10 ties, and 16 losses. Their recent form is relatively positive, with three wins in their last five matches, including a recent 1-0 victory against Real Oviedo. Under the guidance of Quique Sánchez Flores, Alavés has a 28% win rate, and their home performance shows strength with seven wins this season.

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano finds themselves in 8th place with 47 points, comprising 11 wins, 14 ties, and 12 losses. They are on a 10-match unbeaten run, although their last two games ended in ties. Their away form is less convincing, with only four wins out of 18 matches. Despite these challenges, their stable mid-table position reflects a balanced campaign under coach Iñigo Pérez.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Both teams have key players who can influence the match's outcome. For Alavés, Toni Martínez and Lucas Boyé are crucial in attack, having combined for a significant portion of the team's goals. Meanwhile, Rayo's Jorge De Frutos and Álvaro García offer offensive prowess and have been instrumental in their recent performances. The absence of Isi Palazón due to suspension is a major blow for Rayo, potentially impacting their attacking fluidity. Additionally, the end-of-season context could lead to squad rotations, affecting team dynamics.

Last Direct Match

The last meeting between Deportivo Alavés and Rayo Vallecano ended in a 2-0 victory for Alavés at home, showcasing their ability to capitalize on home advantage.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Deportivo Alavés

Last games

Deportivo Alavés performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

75%

Rayo Vallecano

Last games

Rayo Vallecano performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

33%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

In summary, our three tips for the Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano match are based on careful analysis of recent form, player availability, and statistical trends. We recommend betting on under 2.5 goals due to both teams' defensive records, both teams to score given their offensive capabilities, and a home win for Alavés, considering Rayo's injury concerns and away struggles. These predictions are designed to offer value in the soccer betting market.