Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid Predictions & Odds - La Liga Picks

As we approach Matchday 37 of La Liga, Sevilla FC is set to host Real Madrid in a clash at the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán on Sunday, May 17, 2026. While Real Madrid has secured the second position in the league, Sevilla finds itself in the middle of the table with no prospects for European qualification. With both teams having little at stake in terms of the league standings, the focus shifts to individual performances and potential betting opportunities. This match is particularly intriguing for soccer betting enthusiasts looking to capitalize on unique odds. Sevilla, under the guidance of coach Luis García, has had a mixed season, while Real Madrid, despite a series of injuries, has managed to maintain their strong form. Real Madrid's average ball possession has been around 63%, while Sevilla maintains an average of 51%. Both teams have shown a propensity to attack, with Sevilla averaging 4.1 shots on goal per match compared to Real Madrid's 5.8. These statistics set the stage for an engaging encounter, with various betting markets offering potential value.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid

1. Match Result: Real Madrid to Win

Even with a significant injury list, Real Madrid's depth and quality should see them through against a mid-table Sevilla. Real Madrid has managed to secure victories in three of their last five matches. With odds at +120 on BetMGM Sportsbook, backing an away win provides good value, especially considering Sevilla's inconsistency. Real Madrid's superiority in both squad quality and recent form makes them the favorites.

2. Both Teams to Score: Yes

Given the attacking intent both teams have demonstrated, this match is likely to see goals from both sides. Sevilla has scored in each of their last three matches, while Real Madrid has been consistent in front of goal. Betting on both teams to score at odds of -161 seems like a promising option.

3. Total Goals: Under 2.5

Despite the attacking potential, the dead rubber nature of this game could lead to a lackluster finish with fewer goals. Real Madrid's strong defense, even with injuries, could keep Sevilla at bay, and with odds at +110 for under 2.5 goals, this wager could offer a good return.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Sevilla FC's last 5 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Real Madrid's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 4 of Sevilla FC's last 5 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Real Madrid's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

12

Sevilla FC have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Real Madrid have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Sevilla FC - Current Form Analysis

Sevilla FC currently holds the 14th position in the La Liga standings with 43 points. They have a home record of 7 wins, 4 ties, and 7 losses. In their last five matches, Sevilla has secured 3 wins and suffered 2 losses, showcasing a resurgence under interim manager Joaquín Caparrós. Their recent 3-2 away victory against Villarreal highlights their potential to score, but inconsistent defensive performances remain a concern.

Real Madrid - Current Form Analysis

Real Madrid stands firm in second place with 77 points, boasting 24 wins this season. Their away record includes 10 wins, 4 ties, and 4 losses. In their last five matches, Real Madrid has achieved 3 wins, 1 tie, and 1 loss. Despite injury setbacks, their recent 2-0 win over Real Oviedo demonstrates their resilience and ability to secure results under pressure.

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Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Real Madrid's injury list is extensive, with key players like Éder Militão, Arda Güler, and Kylian Mbappé sidelined. Despite these challenges, players like Vinícius Júnior and Federico Valverde have stepped up, contributing significantly to the team's attacking output. Sevilla, on the other hand, will look to Akor Adams and Ruben Vargas for offensive inspiration. The managerial transition at Real Madrid, with Carlo Ancelotti departing soon, could impact team dynamics, but Álvaro Arbeloa's leadership is expected to maintain focus and performance levels.

Last Direct Match Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid

The last encounter between these two teams ended in a 2-0 victory for Real Madrid. This result adds to their favorable head-to-head record against Sevilla.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Sevilla FC

Last games

Sevilla FC performance of the last 4 home matches

Victories

75%

Over 2.5

50%

Real Madrid

Last games

Real Madrid performance of the last 6 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

50%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three tips for this match are based on the current form, statistical analysis, and betting market value. We recommend a Real Madrid win at odds of +120, betting on both teams to score with odds of -161, and under 2.5 goals at odds of +110. These predictions consider Real Madrid's quality, despite injuries, and Sevilla's recent performances, making them logical choices for soccer betting enthusiasts.