CF Pachuca vs Deportivo Toluca Predictions & Odds - Liga MX Picks

As the Liga MX Clausura Playoffs heat up, CF Pachuca and Deportivo Toluca are set to clash in a pivotal quarter-final second leg at the Hidalgo Stadium. Pachuca holds a slight edge following their 1-0 victory in the first leg, courtesy of Enner Valencia's decisive strike. This matchup is crucial for both teams as they look to secure a spot in the semi-finals. Pachuca's recent run of form has been promising, with a 60% win rate over their last five outings, while Toluca has struggled with consistency, managing a 40% win rate in the same period. In terms of average ball possession, Pachuca has maintained a respectable 55%, whereas Toluca has edged slightly higher at 57%. With these statistics in mind, soccer betting enthusiasts can expect a tightly contested encounter, where the soccer betting odds provided by platforms like BetMGM Sportsbook might offer intriguing opportunities for bettors. The pressure is on for Toluca to overturn their deficit, making this a match not to be missed.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for CF Pachuca vs Deportivo Toluca

1. Away Win for Deportivo Toluca

Our soccer betting prediction suggests an away win for Deportivo Toluca. Despite Pachuca's first-leg advantage, Toluca's recent home thrashing of Los Angeles FC by 4-0 highlights their potential to bounce back. Coach Antonio Mohamed will look to capitalize on Toluca's 56% likelihood to win as per betting odds. With Toluca needing a two-goal victory, their attacking intent could prove decisive. The odds for a Toluca win stand at +105 on BetMGM Sportsbook.

2. Both Teams to Score

Our soccer betting pick is that both teams will find the back of the net. Pachuca's attacking prowess, coupled with Toluca's need to score, sets the stage for an open game. With both teams averaging over one goal per match in recent fixtures, expect goals at both ends. The odds for both teams to score are -192, providing a solid option for bettors looking for value.

3. Under 2.5 Goals

Our soccer predictions indicate a game with Under 2.5 goals. Although both teams have attacking capabilities, the stakes and tactical adjustments for the second leg may lead to a more cautious approach. Pachuca's defense has been solid recently, and Toluca will be wary of overcommitting. The odds for Under 2.5 goals are +135, reflecting a potentially tight affair.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Handicap 0-1

Draw

CF Pachuca have won by exactly 1 goals 1 of their last 4 matches.

Deportivo Toluca have lost by exactly 1 goals 4 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

12

CF Pachuca have won or lost 4 of their last 4 matches.

Deportivo Toluca have won or lost 6 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of CF Pachuca's last 4 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Deportivo Toluca's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

CF Pachuca's Recent Form

Under the guidance of Esteban Solari, CF Pachuca has shown commendable form, winning three of their last five matches and maintaining an unbeaten streak spanning nine matches in Liga MX. They stand strong in the table, displaying consistency with a 60% win rate over their last five games. Pachuca's last result, a 1-0 away triumph against Toluca, has put them in an advantageous position for the return leg.

Deportivo Toluca's Current Struggles

Deportivo Toluca's performance has been inconsistent, with only two wins in their last five matches, reflecting a 40% win rate. Their recent 1-0 home loss to Pachuca adds pressure as they travel to Hidalgo. Despite their mixed results, Toluca has a formidable home record and will look to translate some of that success on the road to keep their playoff hopes alive.

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Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Enner Valencia has been instrumental for Pachuca, recently scoring the winning goal in the first leg. His form, alongside Oussama Idrissi and Kenedy, who each have five goals this season, provides Pachuca with a potent attacking threat. Toluca's Paulinho, with ten goals, remains their top scorer and a key player under Antonio Mohamed's strategies. Both teams face player availability issues due to suspensions and national team call-ups, adding a layer of complexity to their tactical plans.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between these two sides ended in a 1-0 away win for CF Pachuca, setting the stage for an intriguing second leg.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

CF Pachuca

Last games

CF Pachuca performance of the last 3 home matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

33%

Deportivo Toluca

Last games

Deportivo Toluca performance of the last 7 away matches

Victories

14%

Over 2.5

71%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer predictions for the CF Pachuca vs Deportivo Toluca clash are grounded in recent form, team dynamics, and the critical nature of this playoff fixture. We back Toluca for an away win at odds of +105, suggesting they have the potential to overturn the first-leg result. Both teams finding the net at -192 seems likely given their attacking capabilities. Finally, with the tension and stakes involved, a cautious affair resulting in Under 2.5 goals at +135 is anticipated. These tips offer a balanced view of the potential outcomes in this high-stakes encounter.