Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC Predictions & Odds - Premier League Picks

Our soccer betting prediction for the Premier League clash between Arsenal FC and Burnley FC promises an intriguing encounter for soccer enthusiasts and bettors alike. Scheduled for May 18, 2026, at 3:00 PM, this Matchday 37 fixture at the Emirates Stadium could be a decisive moment in the title race. Arsenal, sitting atop the league with 79 points, are determined to secure their first league title in 22 years. Meanwhile, Burnley, already relegated, will look to play spoiler as they have nothing to lose. Arsenal boasts an impressive home record with 14 wins, 2 ties, and 2 losses, while Burnley's away form has been dismal, with only 2 wins, 3 ties, and 13 losses. Arsenal's average goal scoring rate and possession statistics further reveal their dominance, making this match a potential goal-fest.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC

1. Arsenal to Win

Given Arsenal's current form and their position at the top of the league, a home victory seems highly probable. Burnley’s poor away performance, coupled with Arsenal's motivation to clinch the title, makes this a sensible option. BetMGM Sportsbook offers odds of -909 for an Arsenal win, reflecting the high likelihood of a home triumph.

2. Both Teams to Score: No

Arsenal's defensive record at home is formidable, while Burnley has struggled to find the net consistently. With odds of -200 at Bet365, betting on both teams not to score is a strategic play, considering Arsenal's solid backline and Burnley's offensive difficulties.

3. Under 3.5 Goals

While Arsenal is expected to dominate, Burnley's defensive resilience might limit the scoreline. With odds of -110 for under 3.5 goals, this market offers value. Considering Arsenal's focus on securing a win rather than a high-scoring game, it aligns with the strategy they might employ in this crucial fixture.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Total Goals

Under 2.5

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Arsenal FC's last 6 matches.

There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Burnley FC's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of Arsenal FC's last 6 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 1 of Burnley FC's last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Handicap 0-2

Away win

Arsenal FC haven't won by 2 or more goals 5 of their last 6 matches.

Burnley FC haven't lost by 2 or more goals 2 of their last 4 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Arsenal FC - Current Form

Arsenal FC, managed by Mikel Arteta, is in stellar form, having won 4 and tied 1 of their last 5 matches across all competitions. Their recent 1-0 win against West Ham United highlights their defensive solidity and tactical discipline. Arsenal leads the Premier League standings with a goal difference of +42, having scored an average of 1.83 goals per match while conceding just 0.7 on average.

Burnley FC - Current Form

Burnley FC, under the guidance of Michael Jackson, has struggled this season. With only 1 tie and 4 losses in their last 5 matches, they currently sit 19th in the league. Their last match, a 2-2 tie against Aston Villa, showcased some attacking promise, but with a negative goal difference of -36, their defensive frailties are evident.

Latest Odds Boosts

🪂 DAILY DROP Profit Boost on ANY SPORT today 🔔: Profit boost percentage varies, total bet odds & max betting limits apply

Ends in

Expired

Eligibility: Must be 21+ and physically located in CA-ONT, AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA (select parishes), MA, MD, ME, MI, MO, NC, NH, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WA, WV, or WY. 18+ and physically located in DC/KY/NH/WY. 19+ and physically located in CA-ONT.

🚀 100% ACCA BOOST: Double your winnings on ANY SPORT! 🏆

Ends in

Expired

Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Arsenal's Martin Odegaard is in fine form, having made significant impacts off the bench recently. With the likes of Bukayo Saka and Gabriel Martinelli in attacking roles, Arsenal's offensive threats are varied. Despite missing key players like Ben White and Mikel Merino due to injury, Arsenal's depth allows them to adapt effectively. For Burnley, Hannibal Mejbri's return from injury could offer a creative spark, but their relegation status may affect team morale.

Last Direct Match Arsenal FC vs Burnley FC

The last encounter between Arsenal and Burnley ended in a 2-0 victory for Arsenal at Burnley's home ground, underscoring their superiority in head-to-head clashes.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Arsenal FC

Last games

Arsenal FC performance of the last 7 home matches

Victories

57%

Over 2.5

28%

Burnley FC

Last games

Burnley FC performance of the last 3 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

100%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three betting tips for the Arsenal vs Burnley match are built on solid statistical backing and current form analysis. Arsenal's win is highly favored due to their dominant position in the league and Burnley's struggles. The prediction for both teams not to score reflects Arsenal's defensive strength, while the under 3.5 goals bet considers the potential conservative approach Arsenal might take to ensure victory. These tips align with Arsenal's objectives and Burnley's limitations, providing a clear rationale for each suggested wager.