Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC Predictions & Odds - Premier League Picks

As we edge closer to the climax of the Premier League season, all eyes turn to Birmingham for a high-stakes clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool FC at Villa Park on May 15, 2026. Both teams sit tied on 59 points, with only goal difference separating Liverpool in fourth place from Aston Villa in fifth. This match is pivotal for both clubs as they fight for a spot in European competition next season. With Liverpool's strong attacking prowess, averaging 12 shots per game, and Aston Villa's resilience at home, the soccer betting odds suggest a closely contested battle. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities with Liverpool scoring 60 goals and Villa netting 50 goals this season. However, defensive lapses have been apparent, making the prospect of goals in this encounter quite high. As you prepare for this exciting matchup, let’s dive into the key betting insights and predictions.
Our 3 Betting Predictions for Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC
Prediction 1: Away Win for Liverpool FC
Our soccer predictions indicate a strong possibility for a Liverpool victory at Villa Park. Liverpool, with a formidable track record of not losing to Villa in their last 11 meetings, seems poised to continue this trend. Despite their recent mixed form, Liverpool's offensive depth and the return of key players provide a slight edge over Villa. With betting odds for a Liverpool win at +120 on Bet365, this looks like a valuable bet for those considering the soccer betting odds.
Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score
Looking at the current form and statistics, both teams have displayed vulnerabilities in defense while maintaining a strong attacking front. Aston Villa, with an impressive home record, will be aiming to exploit any weaknesses in Liverpool's backline. Meanwhile, Liverpool's attacking threats like Mohamed Salah are likely to capitalize on Villa's defensive absences. The odds for both teams to score are -217 at BetMGM Sportsbook, signaling a high probability of goals from both sides.
Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Goals
Given both teams' current form and offensive capabilities, our soccer betting pick leans towards an exciting, high-scoring affair. Villa and Liverpool have averaged respectable goal tallies, with both teams capable of contributing to the scoreline. The odds for over 3.5 goals stand at +130, making this an enticing option for bettors anticipating an open and attacking game.
Further Predictions
Our tips
Team Statistics
Aston Villa
Under the guidance of Unai Emery, Aston Villa occupies the fifth spot in the Premier League. With 59 points, they have secured 17 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses. Their home record reflects strength with 11 wins out of 18 matches. However, recent performances have been shaky, with only one win in their last five outings. Their latest game ended in a 2-2 tie against Burnley, illustrating their struggle to convert opportunities into victories.
Liverpool FC
Liverpool, managed by Arne Slot, also stands on 59 points but with a superior goal difference. With an away record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, Liverpool has experienced fluctuating form. They have managed two wins in their last five matches, including a convincing win over Crystal Palace. Their recent 1-1 tie against Chelsea underlines their capability to compete against top-tier teams.
Latest Odds Boosts
Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
Mohamed Salah's return from a minor injury could be a game-changer for Liverpool. With 7 goals and 6 assists this season, his impact is undeniable. Salah's contract situation adds an emotional layer to his performances as he prepares to leave the club at season's end. For Villa, the absence of key midfielders like Amadou Onana and Boubacar Kamara may hinder their ability to control the midfield, impacting their overall game plan.
Last Direct Match: Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC
The last encounter between these sides ended in a 2-0 victory for Liverpool FC, reinforcing their dominance in the head-to-head matchup.
Performance Last 5 Matches
In the last five matches, Aston Villa has struggled with 1 win, 1 tie, and 3 losses, while Liverpool has fared slightly better with 2 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses.
Performance
Aston Villa performance of the last 5 home matches
Liverpool FC performance of the last 5 away matches
TrustnBet Predictions Summary
Our three betting predictions for the Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC match emphasize Liverpool's historical advantage and recent form. We foresee an away win for Liverpool due to their past dominance and current aspirations for a top-four finish. Both teams are likely to score, given their attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Finally, considering both teams' offensive potential, we anticipate over 3.5 goals in what promises to be an exhilarating encounter.
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Current Standing
| POS | TEAM | PTS | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Arsenal FC
|
79 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 |
|
2
|
Manchester City
|
74 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 72 | 32 | 40 |
|
3
|
Manchester United
|
65 | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 63 | 48 | 15 |
|
4
|
Liverpool FC
|
59 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 60 | 48 | 12 |
|
5
|
Aston Villa
|
59 | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 46 | 4 |
|
6
|
AFC Bournemouth
|
55 | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 56 | 52 | 4 |
|
7
|
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
53 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 42 | 10 |
|
8
|
Brentford FC
|
51 | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 |
|
9
|
Chelsea FC
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 55 | 49 | 6 |
|
10
|
Everton FC
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 46 | 0 |
|
11
|
Fulham FC
|
48 | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 44 | 50 | -6 |
|
12
|
Sunderland AFC
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 |
|
13
|
Newcastle United
|
46 | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 52 | -2 |
|
14
|
Leeds United
|
44 | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 |
|
15
|
Crystal Palace
|
44 | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 44 | -6 |
|
16
|
Nottingham Forest FC
|
43 | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 47 | -2 |
|
17
|
Tottenham Hotspur
|
38 | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 55 | -9 |
|
18
|
West Ham United
|
36 | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 62 | -20 |
|
19
|
Burnley FC
|
21 | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 73 | -36 |
|
20
|
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
|
18 | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 25 | 66 | -41 |
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