Aston Villa
Aston Villa
vs
Liverpool FC
Liverpool FC
England
England
Premier League
Fri
8:00 PM
Starting in
-- : -- : -- : --
MATCH ABOUT TO START
Villa Park
Birmingham

Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC Predictions & Odds - Premier League Picks

Premier League betting prediction

As we edge closer to the climax of the Premier League season, all eyes turn to Birmingham for a high-stakes clash between Aston Villa and Liverpool FC at Villa Park on May 15, 2026. Both teams sit tied on 59 points, with only goal difference separating Liverpool in fourth place from Aston Villa in fifth. This match is pivotal for both clubs as they fight for a spot in European competition next season. With Liverpool's strong attacking prowess, averaging 12 shots per game, and Aston Villa's resilience at home, the soccer betting odds suggest a closely contested battle. Both teams have demonstrated offensive capabilities with Liverpool scoring 60 goals and Villa netting 50 goals this season. However, defensive lapses have been apparent, making the prospect of goals in this encounter quite high. As you prepare for this exciting matchup, let’s dive into the key betting insights and predictions.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC

Prediction 1: Away Win for Liverpool FC

Our soccer predictions indicate a strong possibility for a Liverpool victory at Villa Park. Liverpool, with a formidable track record of not losing to Villa in their last 11 meetings, seems poised to continue this trend. Despite their recent mixed form, Liverpool's offensive depth and the return of key players provide a slight edge over Villa. With betting odds for a Liverpool win at +120 on Bet365, this looks like a valuable bet for those considering the soccer betting odds.

Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score

Looking at the current form and statistics, both teams have displayed vulnerabilities in defense while maintaining a strong attacking front. Aston Villa, with an impressive home record, will be aiming to exploit any weaknesses in Liverpool's backline. Meanwhile, Liverpool's attacking threats like Mohamed Salah are likely to capitalize on Villa's defensive absences. The odds for both teams to score are -217 at BetMGM Sportsbook, signaling a high probability of goals from both sides.

Prediction 3: Over 3.5 Goals

Given both teams' current form and offensive capabilities, our soccer betting pick leans towards an exciting, high-scoring affair. Villa and Liverpool have averaged respectable goal tallies, with both teams capable of contributing to the scoreline. The odds for over 3.5 goals stand at +130, making this an enticing option for bettors anticipating an open and attacking game.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Total Goals
Over 3.5
There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of Liverpool FC's last 4 matches.
Total Goals
Over 2.5
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Aston Villa's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Liverpool FC's last 4 matches.
Double Chance
12
Aston Villa have won or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Liverpool FC have won or lost 3 of their last 4 matches.

Team Statistics

Aston Villa

Under the guidance of Unai Emery, Aston Villa occupies the fifth spot in the Premier League. With 59 points, they have secured 17 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses. Their home record reflects strength with 11 wins out of 18 matches. However, recent performances have been shaky, with only one win in their last five outings. Their latest game ended in a 2-2 tie against Burnley, illustrating their struggle to convert opportunities into victories.

Liverpool FC

Liverpool, managed by Arne Slot, also stands on 59 points but with a superior goal difference. With an away record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, Liverpool has experienced fluctuating form. They have managed two wins in their last five matches, including a convincing win over Crystal Palace. Their recent 1-1 tie against Chelsea underlines their capability to compete against top-tier teams.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Mohamed Salah's return from a minor injury could be a game-changer for Liverpool. With 7 goals and 6 assists this season, his impact is undeniable. Salah's contract situation adds an emotional layer to his performances as he prepares to leave the club at season's end. For Villa, the absence of key midfielders like Amadou Onana and Boubacar Kamara may hinder their ability to control the midfield, impacting their overall game plan.

Last Direct Match: Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC

The last encounter between these sides ended in a 2-0 victory for Liverpool FC, reinforcing their dominance in the head-to-head matchup.

Performance Last 5 Matches

In the last five matches, Aston Villa has struggled with 1 win, 1 tie, and 3 losses, while Liverpool has fared slightly better with 2 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses.

Performance

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Last games

Aston Villa performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories
80%
Over 2.5
80%
Liverpool FC
Liverpool FC
Last games

Liverpool FC performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories
20%
Over 2.5
80%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three betting predictions for the Aston Villa vs Liverpool FC match emphasize Liverpool's historical advantage and recent form. We foresee an away win for Liverpool due to their past dominance and current aspirations for a top-four finish. Both teams are likely to score, given their attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities. Finally, considering both teams' offensive potential, we anticipate over 3.5 goals in what promises to be an exhilarating encounter.

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Current Standing

POS TEAM PTS MP W D L GF GA GD
1
Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC
79 36 24 7 5 68 26 42
2
Manchester City
Manchester City
74 35 22 8 5 72 32 40
3
Manchester United
Manchester United
65 36 18 11 7 63 48 15
4
Liverpool FC
Liverpool FC
59 36 17 8 11 60 48 12
5
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
59 36 17 8 11 50 46 4
6
AFC Bournemouth
AFC Bournemouth
55 36 13 16 7 56 52 4
7
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brighton & Hove Albion
53 36 14 11 11 52 42 10
8
Brentford FC
Brentford FC
51 36 14 9 13 52 49 3
9
Chelsea FC
Chelsea FC
49 36 13 10 13 55 49 6
10
Everton FC
Everton FC
49 36 13 10 13 46 46 0
11
Fulham FC
Fulham FC
48 36 14 6 16 44 50 -6
12
Sunderland AFC
Sunderland AFC
48 36 12 12 12 37 46 -9
13
Newcastle United
Newcastle United
46 36 13 7 16 50 52 -2
14
Leeds United
Leeds United
44 36 10 14 12 48 53 -5
15
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
44 35 11 11 13 38 44 -6
16
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest FC
43 36 11 10 15 45 47 -2
17
Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham Hotspur
38 36 9 11 16 46 55 -9
18
West Ham United
West Ham United
36 36 9 9 18 42 62 -20
19
Burnley FC
Burnley FC
21 36 4 9 23 37 73 -36
20
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
18 36 3 9 24 25 66 -41
Legend
  • Champions League
  • Europa League
  • Relegation
  • Europa Conference League Quali.