Burnley FC vs Aston Villa Predictions & Odds - Premier League Picks

Get ready for an intriguing Premier League showdown as Burnley FC takes on Aston Villa at Turf Moor. This Matchday 36 clash is set to unfold on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at 09:00. Both teams enter this encounter with different objectives: Burnley, already relegated, is playing for pride, while Aston Villa is battling for a spot in the UEFA Champions League. Soccer betting enthusiasts will be keenly watching this matchup, as it offers interesting possibilities given the teams' recent performances. Burnley has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Aston Villa boasts a potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game in the same period. Ball possession stats also favor Villa, who holds an average of 56% possession compared to Burnley's 42%. These statistics suggest a challenging day for the home side and present potential opportunities for bettors exploring the soccer betting odds.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Burnley FC vs Aston Villa

1. Match Result: Aston Villa to Win

Considering Aston Villa's superior form and Burnley's injury woes, our soccer betting prediction leans towards an Aston Villa victory. Villa's attacking prowess, with players like Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers in form, presents a formidable challenge for Burnley's defense, which has been leaking goals. BetMGM Sportsbook offers odds of -164 for a Villa win, making it a solid option for bettors.

2. Both Teams to Score: Yes

Despite Burnley's struggles, they have shown an ability to find the net occasionally. With Villa potentially rotating their squad due to Europa League commitments, there might be defensive lapses. Bet365 offers odds of -133 for both teams to score, which could be a viable pick given the circumstances.

3. Total Goals: Under 2.5

While both teams have shown offensive capabilities, the pressure of the occasion might lead to a more cautious approach. With Burnley's relegation confirmed and Villa's focus potentially split, a tight game could ensue. Bet365 provides odds of +110 for under 2.5 goals, which could be appealing for those expecting a low-scoring match.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 3.5

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 2 of Burnley FC's last 3 matches.

There have been over 3.5 goals scored in 3 of Aston Villa's last 7 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

12

Burnley FC have won or lost 3 of their last 3 matches.

Aston Villa have won or lost 6 of their last 7 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 2 of Burnley FC's last 3 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 6 of Aston Villa's last 7 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Burnley FC: Current Struggles

Burnley FC sits at 19th place with 20 points, having won just four games this season. Under the guidance of Michael Jackson, they have struggled, recording no wins in their last five matches and conceding heavily. Their recent 1-3 loss to Leeds United further reflects their current woes.

Aston Villa: European Aspirations

Aston Villa is in 5th place with 58 points, boasting 17 wins this season. Despite a recent 1-2 home loss to Tottenham, they remain in contention for a Champions League spot. Under Unai Emery, Villa has been strong, particularly in attack, which bodes well for their chances against Burnley.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Burnley's relegation has put them in a position where they can play without pressure, a double-edged sword that may either liberate or demotivate the squad. Injuries plague the team, with six key players sidelined, impacting squad depth severely. Aston Villa, contrastingly, has most players available and in good form, with Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers leading the charge. Villa's squad depth and focus on securing a European spot could be influential, even if they decide to rotate players.

Last Direct Match: Burnley FC vs Aston Villa

The last meeting saw Aston Villa edge out Burnley 2-1 at Villa Park, with Donyell Malen scoring twice.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Burnley FC has lost all of their last five matches, while Aston Villa has secured two wins in their last five outings.

Performance

Burnley FC

Last games

Burnley FC performance of the last 3 home matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

0%

Aston Villa

Last games

Aston Villa performance of the last 7 away matches

Victories

28%

Over 2.5

42%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer betting predictions for Burnley FC vs Aston Villa suggest an away win for Villa, both teams to score, and under 2.5 total goals. Villa's form and squad depth provide a clear edge, while Burnley's defensive vulnerabilities and injuries make them the underdogs. These predictions are based on recent performances, statistical analysis, and the current dynamics of both teams.