Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth Predictions & Odds - Premier League Picks

The Premier League matchup between Newcastle United and AFC Bournemouth, scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026, at St. James' Park, promises an intriguing contest for soccer betting enthusiasts. As both teams sit comfortably in the mid-table, with Newcastle in 12th place and Bournemouth in 10th, they are free from the pressures of relegation or European qualification, allowing them to play without inhibitions. Newcastle, with a home record of 8 wins, 2 ties, and 6 losses, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Bournemouth aims to maintain their unbeaten away form of 4 wins, 7 ties, and 5 losses. Both teams average around 13 shots per match, with Newcastle slightly edging Bournemouth in possession stats with an average of 52% to Bournemouth's 50%. This similarity in playing style and form suggests a closely fought match, making it an exciting prospect for those interested in soccer betting odds.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth

1. Moneyline: Newcastle United to Win

Our soccer betting pick favors Newcastle United to secure a home win against Bournemouth. Despite recent struggles, Newcastle has shown resilience, especially at home, with a strong record of 8 wins at St. James' Park. The absence of key players like Joelinton and potential uncertainty over Bruno Guimaraes may impact their midfield, but Eddie Howe's tactical acumen could still steer the team to victory. With odds of +100 available at Bet365, backing Newcastle appears to offer solid value.

2. Both Teams to Score: Yes

Both teams have been consistently finding the net in recent matches, and their defensive records suggest vulnerabilities that the opposition can exploit. Newcastle's average of 1.68 goals per game and Bournemouth's 1.50 xGA per match indicate a high probability of both sides scoring. The odds for both teams to score are -227, a reflection of this likely outcome. Given their attacking tendencies, this bet has merit.

3. Over/Under: Over 3.5 Goals

Considering the offensive capabilities of both teams and their average goals per game, betting on over 3.5 goals seems promising. The last head-to-head ended with a flurry of goals, and both squads have shown they are capable of scoring multiple times in a match. With odds at +120, this market offers an enticing opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the offensive play.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Newcastle United have drawn or lost 5 of their last 7 matches.

AFC Bournemouth have won or drawn 3 of their last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 3.5

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 5 of Newcastle United's last 7 matches.

There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 2 of AFC Bournemouth's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 6 of Newcastle United's last 7 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 3 of AFC Bournemouth's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Newcastle United - Inconsistent Yet Strong at Home

Newcastle United's recent form has been mixed, with 1 win, 1 tie, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches. They currently hold 12th position in the Premier League, accumulating 42 points from 12 wins, 6 ties, and 14 losses. Their last match resulted in a narrow 1-2 loss to Crystal Palace. Despite their inconsistent performances, their home form remains a beacon of strength, with a record of 8 wins, 2 ties, and 6 losses. Eddie Howe will hope to leverage this home advantage against Bournemouth.

AFC Bournemouth - A Streak of Ties

AFC Bournemouth has been a tough team to beat, remaining undefeated in their last 19 matches, including 4 ties in their last 5 outings. Currently sitting in 10th place with 45 points, they have shown resilience with a record of 10 wins, 15 ties, and 7 losses. Their latest victory against Arsenal, a 2-1 away win, demonstrates their ability to perform against strong opposition. Andoni Iraola will aim to continue this form against Newcastle.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Key players for Newcastle United include Anthony Gordon and Harvey Barnes, who have been prolific in front of goal, scoring 17 and 15 goals respectively this season. The potential absence of Bruno Guimaraes, who has contributed 9 goals, could hinder their creativity. For Bournemouth, Antoine Semenyo and Elie Kroupi, both with 10 goals, are crucial to their attacking prowess. The suspension of Joelinton for Newcastle and injuries to Enes Ünal and Adam Smith for Bournemouth could play significant roles in how each team performs on matchday.

Last Direct Match: Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth

The last encounter between these teams ended in a thrilling penalty shootout victory for Newcastle after a 3-3 tie in regular time. This suggests that a high-scoring affair could again be on the cards.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Newcastle United: 1 win, 1 tie, 3 losses
AFC Bournemouth: 1 win, 4 ties, 0 losses

Performance

Newcastle United

Last games

Newcastle United performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

83%

AFC Bournemouth

Last games

AFC Bournemouth performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three betting tips for the Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth match focus on a home win for Newcastle, both teams to score, and over 3.5 goals. These predictions are based on Newcastle's strong home form, the attacking abilities of both teams, and the likelihood of a high-scoring match given their previous encounter. The odds for each prediction provide a balanced mix of risk and potential reward, making them attractive options for soccer betting enthusiasts.