Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United Predictions & Odds - Premier League Picks

The Premier League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United, scheduled for Monday, May 11, 2026, at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, promises intrigue as both clubs find themselves in contrasting positions. With Tottenham desperately fighting to avoid relegation and Leeds United seeking to solidify their safety, this matchup is set to deliver high-stakes drama. Tottenham, under the stewardship of Roberto De Zerbi, have shown signs of resurgence with improved possession statistics, averaging 55-60% ball control in recent matches. Leeds, with a commendable run of form, are unbeaten in their last six league outings, displaying resilience and tactical discipline. The soccer betting odds indicate a tight contest, with Tottenham's precarious home form being a significant factor. Join us as we delve into the soccer betting predictions, leveraging team statistics and recent performances to provide insightful tips for this eagerly anticipated encounter.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United

1. Match Result: Tottenham Hotspur Win

Our soccer betting pick favors Tottenham Hotspur to emerge victorious at home. Despite their struggles at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium this season, the necessity of a win to stave off relegation might spur a spirited performance. The recent managerial influence of Roberto De Zerbi has shown promise, leading to an uptick in form. With a strong chance of winning at 63%, and odds of -118, a home victory is a viable option.

2. Both Teams to Score

Given the attacking prowess of both sides, our soccer predictions suggest that both teams will find the net. Leeds' Dominic Calvert-Lewin has been in fine form, and Tottenham's Richarlison remains a key threat despite fitness concerns. The odds for both teams scoring stand at -147, reflecting the likelihood of an open game with opportunities for goals at both ends of the pitch.

3. Total Goals: Under 2.5 Goals

With key injuries affecting both squads, our soccer betting odds indicate a lower-scoring match. Tottenham's defensive setup may prioritize shutting down Leeds' attacking threats, while Leeds could adopt a cautious approach given their relative safety in the league. The odds for under 2.5 goals are +110, suggesting a tight contest with limited scoring chances.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Tottenham Hotspur have drawn or lost 2 of their last 4 matches.

Leeds United have won or drawn 5 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 2 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 4 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 5 of Leeds United's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 4.5

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 4 of Tottenham Hotspur's last 4 matches.

There have been under 4.5 goals scored in 6 of Leeds United's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Tottenham Hotspur's Recent Form

Tottenham Hotspur have been battling at the lower end of the Premier League table, currently sitting in 17th position with 37 points. They have secured 2 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses in their last five matches across all competitions. Their recent 2-1 victory against Aston Villa has provided a crucial boost, yet their home form remains a concern, with only 2 wins all season.

Leeds United's Impressive Run

Leeds United have displayed commendable form, standing 14th in the league with 43 points. They have won 3 of their last 5 matches, including a decisive 3-1 triumph over Burnley. Despite only one win in their previous six away games, Leeds have shown resilience and tactical flexibility under manager Daniel Farke.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Tottenham's Richarlison remains a pivotal figure, netting 10 goals this season with a +3.0 expected goal differential despite fitness concerns. In midfield, Yves Bissouma and Rodrigo Bentancur provide energy and stability. For Leeds, Dominic Calvert-Lewin's 12 goals make him a constant threat, although their defensive vulnerabilities could be exposed. With both teams missing key players, especially in attack, the dynamic of the game could shift, influencing the outcome.

Last Direct Match: Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United

The last encounter saw Tottenham Hotspur snatch a 2-1 away victory over Leeds United, showcasing their ability to edge out close contests.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Tottenham Hotspur

Last games

Tottenham Hotspur performance of the last 5 home matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

100%

Leeds United

Last games

Leeds United performance of the last 5 away matches

Victories

20%

Over 2.5

60%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

In this high-stakes Premier League clash, our predictions lean towards a Tottenham Hotspur victory, driven by their urgent need for points to avoid relegation. With the betting odds favoring both teams to score, we anticipate an open game, though the absence of key players suggests a lower goal tally. Our tips are informed by recent form, team statistics, and the strategic approaches likely to be employed by both managers.