Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna Predictions & Odds - Primera División Picks

Our soccer betting pick for the match between Athletic Bilbao and CA Osasuna considers the intricate dynamics of recent performances and historical encounters. As these two teams face off in the Primera División on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 13:00, soccer betting enthusiasts have a lot to ponder. Athletic Bilbao, positioned 12th with 38 points, host the 9th-placed CA Osasuna, who have accumulated 39 points. With both teams nearly neck and neck in the standings, this Matchday 33 contest at San Mamés promises an intriguing clash. Athletic Bilbao's home record shows strength with eight wins, while Osasuna struggles on the road, managing only two wins. Statistically, Athletic Bilbao averages 1.06 goals per match, and Osasuna averages 1.12. Both have shown vulnerabilities in defense, with Bilbao's average goals conceded at 1.25 and Osasuna's at 1.15. This statistical insight helps shape our betting predictions for this exciting matchup.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna

Prediction 1: Home Win for Athletic Bilbao

Considering Athletic Bilbao's formidable home form, where they have secured eight victories this season, they appear to have the upper hand against Osasuna, who have struggled away from home, managing just two wins. With odds of -125 available at BetMGM Sportsbook, betting on a home win seems prudent. Ernesto Valverde's side will be keen to capitalize on their home advantage to boost their standings.

Prediction 2: Both Teams Do Not Score

Given Athletic Bilbao's recent defensive improvements and the struggles of Osasuna to find the net away from home, a bet against both teams scoring appears promising. The odds for both teams not scoring stand at -125, making it an appealing choice. This prediction aligns with the recent trend, as Osasuna has failed to score in several of their away matches.

Prediction 3: Over 2.5 Goals

Despite both teams' defensive records, their historical encounters have often seen multiple goals. With Athletic's attacking prowess at home and Osasuna's potential to counter, betting on over 2.5 goals, with odds of +110, offers value. Expect a lively contest that could see goals from both sides, making this prediction a compelling option.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Athletic Bilbao have drawn or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

CA Osasuna have won or drawn 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

1X2

Away win

Athletic Bilbao have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

CA Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Athletic Bilbao's last 5 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of CA Osasuna's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Athletic Bilbao: Current Form and Home Dominance

Athletic Bilbao, under Ernesto Valverde, have displayed resilience at home, winning 50% of their matches at San Mamés. Despite their recent dip in form with one win in their last five matches, their ability to perform at home makes them a formidable opponent. Currently, 12th in the table, they have a 33% win rate overall but a stronger 53% win rate at home, showcasing their potential to secure another victory in this matchup.

CA Osasuna: Struggles on the Road

Osasuna’s away record tells a story of struggle, with only two wins out of 16 away matches this season. Despite sitting 9th in the league, their inconsistency on the road has prevented them from climbing higher. Their recent form includes one win, three ties, and a loss, highlighting their tendency to share points. With a 25% win rate away from home, Osasuna will need to defy these odds to emerge victorious against Athletic Bilbao.

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Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Key players like Gorka Guruzeta for Athletic Bilbao and Ante Budimir for CA Osasuna are expected to play pivotal roles. Guruzeta's goal-scoring ability, averaging between 0.39 to 0.78 goals per match, makes him a constant threat. Meanwhile, Budimir's prowess in front of goal is crucial for Osasuna, contributing significantly to their offensive plays. Both teams will also have to consider the impact of returning from the winter break, with fitness and match sharpness being potential factors influencing the outcome.

Last Direct Match: Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna

The last encounter between these two sides ended in a 1-1 tie, demonstrating the competitive nature of their clashes and the potential for a closely fought match once again.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Athletic Bilbao

Last games

Athletic Bilbao performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

66%

CA Osasuna

Last games

CA Osasuna performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

0%

Over 2.5

50%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our three betting tips for Athletic Bilbao vs CA Osasuna are grounded in statistical analysis and team form. We recommend betting on Athletic Bilbao to win due to their strong home record, reflected in the odds of -125 at BetMGM Sportsbook. For those seeking value in scoring dynamics, betting on both teams not to score at -125 offers a strategic bet, considering Athletic's recent defensive solidity. Finally, over 2.5 goals at +110 is a worthwhile option, given the attacking potential of both squads. These predictions reflect our comprehensive analysis of the match, providing a balanced approach for soccer betting enthusiasts.