Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés Predictions & Odds - La Liga Picks

As La Liga heads into Matchday 33, soccer enthusiasts and bettors alike eagerly anticipate the clash between Real Madrid and Deportivo Alavés at the iconic Bernabéu Stadium on April 21, 2026. Real Madrid, with 70 points, sits comfortably in second place, albeit a considerable nine points behind league leaders Barcelona. Their recent form has been less than stellar, with only one win in their last five outings. On the other hand, Deportivo Alavés, struggling in 17th place with 33 points, is battling to stay above the relegation zone. Their recent form shows resilience, with only one loss in their last five matches, including a high-scoring 3-3 tie against Real Sociedad. With an average goal-scoring rate of 2.17 per match for Madrid and 1.13 for Alavés, this match promises to be an intriguing encounter. Soccer betting odds reflect Madrid's home advantage, although recent performances have left room for surprises.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés

1. Home Win for Real Madrid

Our soccer betting prediction leans heavily towards a home win for Real Madrid. Despite their recent form, Álvaro Arbeloa's team remains formidable at home, boasting 13 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses. Real Madrid's historical dominance over Alavés, winning their last eight encounters, also supports this prediction. Bet365 offers odds of -333 for a Madrid win, suggesting confidence in the home team's ability to claim victory.

2. Both Teams to Score

Considering Real Madrid's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly with goalkeeper Andriy Lunin's struggle to maintain clean sheets, both teams finding the net seems likely. Deportivo Alavés has shown attacking prowess recently, netting 3 goals against Real Sociedad. BetMGM Sportsbook offers odds of -118 for both teams to score, providing a promising option for this market.

3. Over 3.5 Goals

Given the attacking capabilities of both teams and their recent defensive lapses, betting on over 3.5 goals is a strategic approach. Real Madrid's average of 2.17 goals per game and Alavés' recent high-scoring matches suggest a goal-fest. With odds of +115 available, this is a valuable betting option for those anticipating an open and attacking game.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Real Madrid have drawn or lost 4 of their last 7 matches.

Deportivo Alavés have won or drawn 3 of their last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 4.5

There have been over 4.5 goals scored in 3 of Real Madrid's last 7 matches.

There have been over 4.5 goals scored in 2 of Deportivo Alavés's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 6 of Real Madrid's last 7 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of Deportivo Alavés's last 3 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Real Madrid - Current Form and Statistics

Real Madrid stands second with 70 points, having secured 22 victories this season. However, their recent form has been shaky, with a mere 20% win rate in the last five matches. Most recently, they suffered a 3-4 loss to Bayern Munich, highlighting their defensive frailties. Despite these setbacks, their home record remains strong, making them favorites for this encounter.

Deportivo Alavés - Current Form and Statistics

Deportivo Alavés finds themselves in a precarious 17th position, just above the relegation zone. With 33 points from 31 matches, they have managed only 8 wins. Their away form is concerning, with just 3 victories on the road. However, they remain unbeaten in their last four league matches, demonstrating resilience in their fight for survival.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Real Madrid's attacking threat is bolstered by Kylian Mbappé, who has scored an impressive 23 goals this season. Despite recent injury concerns, his presence will be pivotal. Vinicius Jr., although under scrutiny after recent performances, remains a creative force with 17 goals and 14 assists. For Alavés, Lucas Boyé's goal-scoring ability, with 11 goals this season, provides a glimmer of hope. Real Madrid's need to recover from a recent Champions League exit adds an extra layer of motivation for them to perform strongly.

Last Direct Match - Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés

The last meeting between these sides ended in a 2-1 away win for Real Madrid, continuing their dominance over Alavés in recent years.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Real Madrid

Last games

Real Madrid performance of the last 6 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

66%

Deportivo Alavés

Last games

Deportivo Alavés performance of the last 4 away matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

75%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer predictions for this La Liga clash suggest a home win for Real Madrid, both teams to score, and over 3.5 goals. Real Madrid's impressive home record and historical dominance over Alavés make them strong favorites. However, recent defensive issues and Alavés' fighting spirit indicate goals from both sides. Given the attacking talent on display, a high-scoring game seems likely, providing valuable betting opportunities.