Paraguay vs Australia Predictions & Odds - WC Picks

The FIFA World Cup 2026 showdown between Paraguay and Australia is poised to be a thrilling encounter as both teams vie for a spot in the next round. Taking place at the iconic Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, this Group D match has significant implications for the tournament standings. With both teams earning three points from their first two matches, the stakes couldn't be higher in this final group stage encounter. Paraguay, coached by Gustavo Alfaro, will be looking to capitalize on their recent win against Türkiye, while Australia, led by Tony Popovic, aims to bounce back after their loss to the USA.

In terms of soccer betting odds, the match is expected to be closely contested. Paraguay has shown resilience, especially in their defense, despite being a man down in their last match. On the other hand, Australia possesses a well-balanced squad with the ability to perform on big stages. Both teams have averaged around 1 goal per match in this tournament, with Australia having a slightly better defensive record. This sets the stage for an intriguing tactical battle where every goal will be crucial.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Paraguay vs Australia

Prediction 1: Paraguay to Win

Our soccer betting pick suggests placing your bet on Paraguay to win. With Almirón suspended, Paraguay will rely on their defensive resilience and counter-attacking prowess to secure victory. They're coming off a morale-boosting win against Türkiye and need a win to ensure progression. This urgency, combined with Australia's recent slip-up against the USA, makes Paraguay a valuable pick at +188 odds.

Prediction 2: Both Teams Do Not Score

Given the defensive strengths both teams have displayed, our soccer betting prediction leans towards both teams not scoring. Paraguay's ability to defend deep and Australia's structured defense make a low-scoring game likely. With odds of -139, this prediction presents a solid value bet. Expect a tight match where defenses prevail over attacking threats.

Prediction 3: Under 1.5 Goals

Our soccer betting tip highlights the potential for a low-scoring affair. With both teams likely to prioritize defense, the under 1.5 goals market offers good value at +138 odds. Paraguay's defensive setup will aim to stifle Australia's attacking options, while Australia's tactical discipline should limit Paraguay's scoring chances. A cautious approach from both sides could lead to few goals.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

12

Paraguay have won or lost 5 of their last 5 matches.

Australia have won or lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 0.5

There have been over 0.5 goals scored in 5 of Paraguay's last 5 matches.

There have been over 0.5 goals scored in 5 of Australia's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Over 1.5

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 3 of Paraguay's last 5 matches.

There have been over 1.5 goals scored in 4 of Australia's last 5 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Paraguay's Form

Paraguay has managed a mixed bag of results in recent matches, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 encounters. Their latest triumph came against Türkiye, securing a 1-0 win that showcased their defensive resilience. With a win percentage of 60% in recent games, Paraguay stands 3rd in Group D with a goal difference of -2. They face a crucial test against Australia, requiring a win to progress.

Australia's Form

Australia has experienced fluctuating form, registering 2 wins, 1 tie, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Their recent 0-2 loss to the USA was a setback, but they remain 2nd in Group D with a +0 goal difference. Although a tie would suffice for qualification, Australia's ambitions for a win will drive them to deliver a strong performance at Levi's Stadium.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Australia's Nestory Irankunda has been a standout performer, becoming their youngest World Cup scorer. His explosive pace and clinical finishing are vital assets for the Socceroos. Paraguay's Matías Galarza, known for his midfield creativity, will be key in orchestrating attacking plays. Both teams enjoy the advantage of minimal travel fatigue, with the match venue located close to their training bases in California. The absence of Paraguay's Almirón due to suspension could shift the balance slightly in Australia's favor.

Last Direct Match

The last encounter between Paraguay and Australia ended in a 1-0 victory for Australia. This result adds an intriguing layer to the upcoming clash as Paraguay aims to exact revenge on the world stage.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Paraguay

Last games

Paraguay performance of the last 2 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Australia

Last games

Australia performance of the last 8 away matches

Victories

37%

Over 2.5

50%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our predictions for the Paraguay vs Australia match focus on Paraguay's potential to secure a win at +188 odds, coupled with a low-scoring affair. Both teams have showcased strong defenses, leading us to predict that both teams will not score at -139 odds. The under 1.5 goals market at +138 odds further emphasizes our expectation of a tactically cautious game. These insights are based on current form, key player contributions, and strategic approaches from both sides.