Senegal vs Iraq Predictions & Odds - WC Picks

As the FIFA World Cup 2026 progresses, all eyes will be on the crucial Group I clash between Senegal and Iraq at BMO Field in Toronto. Both teams find themselves in a precarious situation with zero points after two matches, making this encounter a must-win for any hope of advancing to the knockout stages. Senegal, managed by Pape Thiaw, will be looking to rectify their previous performances, especially after a tough 2-3 loss to Norway. With an average of 1.33 goals conceded per match, their defense has been under scrutiny. Iraq, under the guidance of Graham Arnold, faces an uphill battle after a 0-3 loss to France and a struggling defense that has let in 3.5 goals per game on average. The stakes are high, and the soccer betting odds reflect the intense competition, with Senegal as the favorites. Bettors on platforms like BetMGM Sportsbook will find intriguing options as they consider the form and tactics of both teams.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Senegal vs Iraq

Prediction 1: Senegal to Win

Our soccer betting prediction leans heavily towards a Senegal victory. With a bold squad that includes European-based talents like Sadio Mane, Senegal is expected to dominate the field. Their superior experience and desperate need for a win make them the favorites at odds of -370 at Bet365. Senegal's attacking prowess and Iraq's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a comfortable win for Pape Thiaw's side.

Prediction 2: Both Teams to Score - No

Considering Iraq's scoring struggles and Senegal's defensive adjustments, our soccer betting pick is for both teams not to score. At odds of -161 available at BetMGM Sportsbook, this bet aligns with the expectation that Senegal will tighten their defense and Iraq may struggle to find the net against a more organized backline.

Prediction 3: Under 2.5 Goals

Given the must-win nature of the game and the potential for a cautious approach from both sides, our soccer predictions favor under 2.5 goals at odds of +120. Senegal will likely focus on a solid defensive performance after their recent setbacks, while Iraq's offensive challenges may limit goal-scoring opportunities.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Double Chance

X2

Senegal have drawn or lost 4 of their last 4 matches.

Iraq have won or drawn 3 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Total Goals

Under 5.5

There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 4 of Senegal's last 4 matches.

There have been under 5.5 goals scored in 6 of Iraq's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Handicap 0-2

Away win

Senegal haven't won by 2 or more goals 4 of their last 4 matches.

Iraq haven't lost by 2 or more goals 3 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Senegal - Current Form and Performance

Senegal currently sits third in Group I with two losses, scoring an average of 0.5 goals per match while conceding 2.0 goals per game. Under the leadership of Pape Thiaw, the team has struggled to find consistency, with a recent 2-3 loss to Norway highlighting defensive issues. Their record over the last five matches includes one win, one tie, and three losses, signaling the need for a turnaround in form.

Iraq - Current Form and Performance

Iraq finds themselves at the bottom of Group I with a similar record of zero points. They have managed to score just 0.5 goals per match on average while conceding 3.5. Coach Graham Arnold has seen his team win once, tie once, and lose three times in their last five matches. Their recent 0-3 loss to France further exposed their defensive vulnerabilities, making this next match crucial for any hopes of progression.

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Key Player Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Senegal's Sadio Mane remains a critical figure, despite not scoring in the last three matches. His leadership and experience are vital for Senegal’s hopes. Meanwhile, Kalidou Koulibaly will be crucial in organizing a defense that has appeared shaky. For Iraq, Aymen Hussein's goal against Norway shows potential, but he needs support from midfield creators like Amir Al-Ammari. External factors such as Senegal's reported internal disputes over wages could influence the team's morale, making this a pivotal game for both squads.

Last Direct Match: Senegal vs Iraq

No previous matches have been recorded between Senegal and Iraq, making this encounter their first-ever meeting on the world stage.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Senegal

Last games

Senegal performance of the last 7 home matches

Victories

71%

Over 2.5

42%

Iraq

Last games

Iraq performance of the last 3 away matches

Victories

33%

Over 2.5

33%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

In summary, our three betting tips for the Senegal vs Iraq game focus on Senegal's quality and Iraq's defensive frailties. We predict a Senegal win at odds of -370, with both teams not scoring at -161, and under 2.5 goals at +120. These predictions are based on current form, team statistics, and the tactical approaches expected from both sides in this crucial World Cup match.