Sweden vs Tunisia Predictions & Odds - WC Picks

As the 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off, the spotlight shifts to Group F where Sweden faces Tunisia in a crucial opener at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey, Mexico. This match on June 14, 2026, not only promises a thrilling start for both teams but also presents enticing opportunities for soccer betting enthusiasts. Sweden enters the tournament under the guidance of coach Graham Potter, aiming to leverage their attacking prowess against a disciplined Tunisian squad. Tunisia, led by Sami Trabelsi, boasts a robust defensive record from their qualifying campaign, despite recent setbacks. With Sweden's attacking duo of Viktor Gyökeres and Alexander Isak, matched against Tunisia's midfield engine led by Ellyes Skhiri, this encounter promises a tactical battle. For those interested in soccer betting, the average number of shots on goal and ball possession statistics could provide valuable insights into potential outcomes.

Our 3 Betting Predictions for Sweden vs Tunisia

Prediction 1: Sweden to Win

Our soccer betting prediction suggests backing Sweden to secure a victory at Estadio BBVA. With a superior attacking line-up featuring Premier League talents like Gyökeres and Isak, Sweden has the firepower to breach Tunisia's defense. Given Tunisia's recent form and their heavy loss against Belgium, Sweden, priced at -111 with Bet365, appears poised to capitalize on their offensive strengths.

Prediction 2: Both Teams Do Not Score

Considering Tunisia's strong defensive organization and Sweden's sporadic defensive lapses, our soccer betting pick leans towards both teams not scoring. The odds at Bet365 for this outcome stand at -133, reflecting the likelihood of a controlled, low-scoring game where Tunisia might struggle to find the net against a more potent Swedish attack.

Prediction 3: Over 2.5 Goals

Despite Tunisia's defensive stance, Sweden's attacking intent and Tunisia's vulnerabilities suggest a game with multiple goals. Our soccer predictions favor an Over 2.5 goals market, priced at +130, as Sweden looks to exploit any defensive frailties, while Tunisia might capitalize on counter-attacks.

Further Predictions

Our tips

Total Goals

Over 2.5

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of Sweden's last 4 matches.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 1 of Tunisia's last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

X2

Sweden have drawn or lost 2 of their last 4 matches.

Tunisia have won or drawn 4 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Double Chance

1X

Sweden have won or drawn 3 of their last 4 matches.

Tunisia have drawn or lost 5 of their last 6 matches.

Top odds at bet365

Team Statistics

Sweden's Form

Sweden's recent form reflects a mixed bag with 2 wins, 2 ties, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Their most recent game ended in a 2-2 tie against Greece. Under Graham Potter, Sweden aims to solidify their defensive line while capitalizing on their attacking talents.

Tunisia's Form

Tunisia's current form shows 1 win, 1 tie, and 3 losses in their last 5 outings, including a heavy 0-5 loss to Belgium. Despite their solid defensive record in qualifying, recent performances raise concerns about their readiness against top-tier teams.

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Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

Sweden's Viktor Gyökeres enters the World Cup on a high, having scored 14 goals in the Premier League, which could prove pivotal against Tunisia's defense. Meanwhile, Tunisia's Ellyes Skhiri, who anchors their midfield, will play a crucial role in disrupting Sweden's attacking rhythm. The North American summer heat in Mexico could also impact the game's tempo and intensity, favoring teams with superior fitness levels and tactical adaptability.

Last Direct Match

Sweden and Tunisia last met in an international friendly where Sweden emerged victorious with a 1-0 win. This historical edge might provide confidence for Sweden as they face off again in a competitive setting.

Performance Last 5 Matches

Performance

Sweden

Last games

Sweden performance of the last 2 home matches

Victories

50%

Over 2.5

100%

Tunisia

Last games

Tunisia performance of the last 8 away matches

Victories

25%

Over 2.5

37%

TrustnBet Predictions Summary

Our soccer picks for this Sweden vs Tunisia clash highlight Sweden's attacking prowess, with a recommendation to back Sweden to win at -111. We anticipate a low-scoring affair where both teams do not score, supported by odds of -133. Lastly, an Over 2.5 goals market at +130 offers value, considering the potential for an open game. These predictions combine statistical insights with current form analysis, providing a well-rounded betting perspective.