Los Angeles Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers 11/17/2025
We’re heading to Xfinity Mobile Arena on Monday night for a coastal clash with betting implications: the Philadelphia 76ers hosting the Los Angeles Clippers at 7:00 p.m. ET. The Sixers enter at 7–5 and have been steadier at home, riding the breakout surge of Tyrese Maxey, who’s opened the season scoring at an elite level and carrying more of the offensive load with Joel Embiid sidelined by right-knee soreness. On the other side, the Clippers come in at 4–9 and are still trying to find cohesion despite James Harden’s strong individual production and playmaking.
The totals market becomes especially interesting with Embiid out and the Sixers leaning more on pace and perimeter creation, while the Clippers continue searching for consistency on both ends. The moneyline understandably leans toward the home side, but the gap in form and personnel health adds layers to how this matchup could unfold. Below, I’ll break down where the value lies on the moneyline, spread, and total—and how injuries and tempo could shape the betting landscape.
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Our betting predictions for the match Los Angeles Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers
Main Tip: Game Totals – Over 218.5 points
Our primary prediction: Over 218.5 points at -125 with DraftKings Sportsbook: The scoring data points toward a higher-total environment. Philly is averaging about 119.3 points per game this season, while the Clippers are around 111.5 points per game. That’s a combined average north of what the market is pricing. Even accounting for some pace drag in Philly, the defensive concession rates for both sides shake out near the mid-230s combined on an average night. My model lands around 222–225 as a fair total, which gives the Over meaningful wiggle room. Probability: 57%. So I like Over 218.5 at -125.
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Tip 2: Moneyline – Philadelphia 76ers to Win
For our secondary pick: Moneyline: 76ers at best odds with BetMGM Sportsbook: The Sixers have been reliable at home with a solid home record, while L.A. has struggled to stack road wins. Even with injuries in play (more on that below), Philly’s home splits and scoring profile give them the edge. Market price implies about a 67% chance; my number is closer to 62%, but I still lean home side given matchup context and recent game scripts. If you’re shopping prices, anything better than -190 tightens the value.
Tip 3: Spread – Philadelphia 76ers -4.5
Our final pick: Spread: 76ers -4.5 at -110 with BetMGM Sportsbook: L.A. away from home has hovered near a double-digit negative point differential per game, while Philly’s average margin improves meaningfully at home. If the Sixers get their early offense rolling and control the half-court tempo, a two-possession win is attainable. Probability: about 53%, which makes -4.5 at -110 playable.
Team Statistics
- Philadelphia 76ers (Eastern Conference): Through 12 games, Philly is averaging approximately 119.3 points per game and allowing around 116.6. At home, the Sixers’ offense stays close to 118.2 points per game, with defensive concessions around 114.2—strong enough to tilt narrow contests their way in their own building.
- Los Angeles Clippers (Western Conference): Across 12 games, L.A. is averaging roughly 111.5 points per game and conceding about 116.4. The road splits tell the story: about 105.5 points per game scored away and about 117.3 allowed. That’s the kind of profile that makes covering multiple possessions challenging unless the perimeter shooting pops.
Totals snapshot: The combined scoring averages point to a number above the current total, and both defenses have allowed opponents to land near or above league-average efficiency in multiple game states. The model nudge leans toward a total eclipsing the low 220s unless the tempo stalls for long stretches.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- Injury picture: For the Clippers, Kawhi Leonard is tracking out with a lower-body issue (right knee recovery reported alongside prior ankle/foot concerns), and Norman Powell has been working back from a hamstring strain. For Philadelphia, Joel Embiid is listed out managing a left knee injury, while Paul George (who joined Philly this offseason) has been reported out with a left knee bone bruise; Kyle Lowry has also been sidelined with a hip issue. Tyrese Maxey is expected to be available. As always, confirm day-of statuses before locking anything in; swings in star availability can reshape both the spread and total.
- Tempo and style: The Sixers have played at a slower clip at home, which generally compresses possessions. But their offensive efficiency at home has been steady enough to offset the pace. The Clippers have profiled as one of the lower-scoring offenses so far this season, but they can still spike if the outside shooting cooperates and they generate second-chance looks.
- Head-to-head sentiment: Recent memory in this matchup includes a Clippers win in Philly by a mid-20s margin last season, powered by excellent shooting splits. The building can turn quickly if the Sixers fall behind, but with Maxey pushing pace in spurts and Philly’s role players shooting better at home, the crowd can be a weapon when they’re in control.
- Schedule/travel: The Clippers land in Philly as part of a road swing, and their away profile has lagged early. The Sixers’ home routine and comfort should matter in late-game execution, especially if this sits in the two-possession range entering the fourth.
Last direct match: Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers
The most recent meeting in Philadelphia tilted toward the Clippers, who won by a sizeable mid-20s margin behind hot shooting and a pronounced field goal percentage edge. It was the kind of night where L.A. got into rhythm early and never really let go. That’s relevant to market sentiment—especially for bettors eyeing L.A. at +170—but remember that personnel and context have shifted since then, particularly with injuries on both sides.
Performance last 5 matches
- Philadelphia 76ers: 2 wins, 3 losses over their last five in all competitions. They’ve toggled between strong starts and fourth-quarter slippage. Even so, their home form has been the stabilizer when the schedule tightens.
- Los Angeles Clippers: 1 win, 4 losses in their last five. Shooting variance on the road has hampered them; they’ve been in a couple of one-possession finishes but haven’t consistently closed.
Last match results: Philadelphia 76ers and Los Angeles Clippers
- 76ers: Fell on the road to Detroit by nine points. The offense couldn’t quite match Detroit’s late-game execution and shot-making.
- Clippers: Dropped a tight one in Boston by three points. They battled, but a late possession or two swung it the other way in crunch time.
Philadelphia 76ers: Current Form in the Eastern Conference
Philly sits in the middle tier of the Eastern Conference pack with a 7–5 start and a strong 4–2 home record. The Sixers are averaging about 119.3 points per game and allowing around 116.6, with their home performance improving both categories slightly. Tyrese Maxey’s availability matters—a lot. He’s the organizer and pressure release, and he gets the ball ahead to shooters early. With Joel Embiid and Paul George reportedly out, the Sixers lean on depth, spacing, and timely defense.
The offense tends to generate cleaner looks at home, and their defense—while not elite—tightens enough in the second half to protect small leads. In this matchup, that’s the key: survive the Clippers’ best perimeter stretch and win the math on free throws and second-chance points. If Philly holds L.A. to their typical road-scoring range while hitting their own average, the home side should control the cover late.
Los Angeles Clippers: Current Form in the Western Conference
Out West, the Clippers are dealing with early turbulence at 4–8 overall and 1–3 on the road. They’re averaging about 111.5 points per game and allowing close to 116.4, with the road concession rate creeping higher. The away scoring average—around 105.5—puts pressure on them to defend without fouling and to win the turnover differential to pick up extra possessions.
If Kawhi Leonard remains out, the shot creation burden shifts; secondary playmakers must generate paint touches to open kickouts. The Clippers can absolutely keep this close if their threes fall and if they hold Philly to a slower, grind-it-out pace. But given the recent late-game trends and the Sixers’ home edge, they’ll need a clean whistle and a productive bench to flip the script.
Head-to-Head Snapshot
Last five meetings across competitions: L.A. holds a narrow edge (3–2). While the Clippers have shown they can seize momentum in this series, the venue has mattered—Philly’s home environment tends to stabilize effort and shot quality for the Sixers. If this becomes a free-throw game late, the Sixers’ home whistle and execution could be the separator.
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TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re prioritizing the Over 218.5 at -125 thanks to combined scoring profiles that point above the market number and defensive concession rates that leave a pathway for both offenses to land near their averages. On the side, we’re backing the Sixers on the moneyline and laying the points with Philly -4.5 at -110. The Sixers’ home form, better late-game stability in their own building, and the Clippers’ road splits all lean toward a two-possession Sixers win. If L.A. spikes from deep, it could get interesting—hence our preference to anchor the card with the total first—but our numbers keep Philly slightly ahead across the most common game scripts.
