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MIN Timberwolves @ CHI Bulls NBA betting tips

Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls 10/16/2025

This preseason stop at the United Center sets the stage for an intriguing NBA odds conversation: Minnesota enters at 2–2 in preseason play, while Chicago mirrors that record at 2–2. In a tune-up that still matters for rotations, rhythm, and role clarity, Timberwolves vs. Bulls betting comes down to how much Minnesota’s established star power and defensive identity travel in October versus the comfort of a home crowd and Chicago’s budding cohesion.

The last five meetings tilt slightly in Chicago’s favor (3–2), though Minnesota dominated their most recent clash. It’s preseason, so minutes patterns and personnel experimentation loom large; still, the core styles should hold. Minnesota’s two-way punch and rim protection against Chicago’s perimeter creation and emerging talent — including Matas Buzelis and Josh Giddey — is the hinge point, with both teams looking to close the exhibition slate on a strong note before the 2025–26 season begins.

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Our betting predictions for the match Minnesota Timberwolves @ Chicago Bulls

Main Tip: Moneyline -Minnesota Timberwolves to Win

Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves to win at best odds with bet365 – Why: Even with Chicago holding a 3-2 edge over the last five head-to-heads, Minnesota’s most recent meeting was a comfortable win by a high-teens cushion. In preseason, defensive cohesion and rim protection often stabilize outcomes when rotations get choppy. Minnesota’s interior size typically travels, and its lead guard/wing scoring creates a cleaner path to late-game buckets when starters stagger out.

Tip 2: Spread – Timberwolves -3.5

Our second betting prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 at -115 with FanDuel. If the line settles around a bucket either way, Minnesota’s defensive floor and ability to produce second-chance points make them a sound spread look. The Bulls’ recent form is modest, and while their home floor helps, Minnesota’s advantage at the rim provides separation in the middle quarters, even as benches check in.

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Tip 3: Game Totals – Under 225.0 Points

Basketball Enter Net

Our final betting prediction: Totals – Under 225 Points at -105 with FanDuel. Why: Preseason rotations, extended looks at second units, and defensive experimentation often lead to uneven scoring spells. While either team can heat up, a slightly slower pace with more half-court touches and trial combinations tends to suppress efficiency. If this total opens in the typical preseason range, our lean is Under based on expected shot variance and defensive backbone from Minnesota.

Betting trends to know

  • – Chicago has taken three of the last five head-to-head matchups, but Minnesota won the most recent meeting by a comfortable double-digit margin.
  • – Form guide: Chicago is 2-3 across its last five, Minnesota 1-4.
  • – Recent outings: Chicago comes in off a road setback by a two-possession margin; Minnesota is off an overtime loss that swung by a single-digit margin after the extra period.
  • – Preseason tilt: Coaching staffs tend to mix rotations liberally; that often nudges totals lower and favors the side with a steadier defensive identity.

Team Statistics

  • Minnesota Timberwolves
    • Team discipline (recent season): approximately 18.3 personal fouls per game across a full campaign; in their postseason sample, that climbed to roughly 20.8 per game—playoff whistle tendencies and physicality usually explain that uptick.
    • Identity snapshot: Rim protection and paint deterrence have been calling cards, with perimeter scoring led by a star wing. In preseason, that defense-first backbone typically translates into steadier possession-by-possession outcomes.
  • Chicago Bulls
    • Team discipline (recent season): approximately 17.6 personal fouls per game across the full slate; in the Play-In sample, roughly 17 per game.
    • Identity snapshot: Veteran-led scoring in the half court, pick-and-pop/playmaking from the big spot, and a perimeter guard who can spike shot quality when hot. In October windows, the Bulls’ offensive rhythm can ebb if the primary creators are limited to shorter stints.

Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors

  • – Minnesota Timberwolves spotlight
    • – Anthony Edwards: The star wing’s blend of burst and shot-making typically sets Minnesota’s scoring tone. Even in short preseason minutes, his rim pressure collapses defenses and frees drive-and-kick looks.
    • – Rudy Gobert: Controls defensive glass and alters finishes in the lane. In preseason, when second units attack the rim more directly, his presence can swing shot charts toward lower-percentage floaters and contested mid-range.
  • Chicago Bulls spotlight
    • Zach LaVine: When he’s rolling, Chicago’s half-court offense hums, with downhill drives and pull-up shooting creating spacing for everyone else. Monitor any minute guidance; in preseason, it’s common to see more staggered or shorter stints.
    • Nikola Vucevic: Touch, passing, and pick-and-pop gravity pull bigs away from the rim, a subtle counter to Minnesota’s interior size. If he’s drilling catch-and-shoot looks, Chicago’s offense stays balanced.
    • Coby White: A swing guard whose pace and shot-making can lift bench units. If he stabilizes the second group, Chicago’s third-quarter scoring holds up when starters sit.
  • External factors
    • Preseason rotations: Expect a wide bench, situational lineups, and different closing groups. That often benefits the team with better defensive habits.
    • Home setting: The United Center crowd should give Chicago a spark, but preseason noise is typically offset by minutes caps.
    • Match rhythm: If Minnesota wins the glass and limits live-ball turnovers, they can manage tempo and keep the scoring environment modest.

Last direct match: Chicago Bulls vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota took the most recent meeting decisively—think high-teens margin—with interior defense and late-game shot-making carrying the day. While Chicago owns three wins in the last five head-to-heads, that latest result showcases how Minnesota’s rim protection and star wing play can flip this matchup, even away from home.

Performance last 5 matches

  • – Chicago Bulls: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • – Minnesota Timberwolves: 1 win, 4 losses

Form is tilting slightly toward Chicago, but the preseason can blur those edges. Minnesota’s profile—particularly their ability to limit high-value looks at the rim—still projects well here.

Last match results: Chicago Bulls and Minnesota Timberwolves

  • – Chicago Bulls: Fell on the road by a two-possession margin to Denver, with late half-court possessions deciding it.
  • – Minnesota Timberwolves: Came up short in overtime against New York after a tight regulation finish, with the extra period swinging by a few possessions.

Chicago Bulls form snapshot

  • – Recent form: 2-3 in the last five, with one close road loss most recently.
  • – Offensive profile: When the primary creators are on the floor, Chicago’s half-court execution improves markedly—inside-out actions through the big spot, plus designed looks for downhill guards.
  • – Defensive profile: Fouling discipline sits around the league median historically, with success linked to limiting live-ball giveaways that fuel opponent transition.
  • – What to watch: Bench stability. If second units protect the ball and hit open catch-and-shoot threes, Chicago can hang or lead through the middle quarters. In preseason, that second-unit edge often decides spreads.

Minnesota Timberwolves form snapshot

  • – Recent form: 1-4 in the last five, including an overtime stumble in the latest outing.
  • – Offensive profile: Star wing creation punctuated by secondary spacing; when inside-out balance is right, Minnesota’s shot quality rises, and late-clock possessions become manageable.
  • – Defensive profile: Interior deterrence is the hallmark. Opponents tend to settle for contested mid-range when Minnesota walls off the rim, and that travels regardless of the month on the calendar.
  • – What to watch: Glass control and turnover avoidance. If Minnesota keeps second-chance looks on their side and limits live-ball mistakes, their defensive backbone should carry the moneyline.
Player Score

TrustnBet Final Thoughts

We’re siding with Minnesota on the moneyline because their defense-first structure and rim control are reliable in a preseason setting with staggered rotations. Against the number, a short spread favors the Timberwolves’ ability to manufacture better shots late in quarters and suppress the highest-value looks at the rim. For the total, we lean under: preseason minutes volatility and lineup experimentation typically shave efficiency. The key threads—Minnesota’s interior defense, Chicago’s reliance on perimeter creation, and bench-unit stability—guide all three tips. That’s why, and it’s how we arrive at a modest Timberwolves edge, a spread lean their way, and a total drifting lower than a typical regular-season number.

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About the author

I’m Baba Faiza, an experienced betting pro and sports analyst at TrustnBet.com, with over 10 years under my belt in predicting outcomes for Soccer, NBA, NFL, and NHL games. My strong background in Mathematics allows me to effectively apply analytical models and sports algorithms to decipher game patterns and make accurate forecasts. With data-driven insights and a deep understanding of team dynamics and betting markets, I’ve established myself as a trusted name in the industry. Whether uncovering trends or identifying valuable betting opportunities, I ensure bettors are equipped to make informed and strategic decisions.

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