Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns 11/16/2025
If you love a gritty AFC North tilt that doubles as a betting puzzle, this one’s circled on your Sunday board. Baltimore heads to Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland for a Week 11 late-window kickoff, and it’s got all the classic division fingerprints: tough fronts, edgy secondaries, and plenty of recent history to parse. The Browns come in at 2-7, but they’ve been more competitive at home, splitting their four games in Cleveland. On the macro level, Kevin Stefanski’s crew averages 16.2 points per game and allows 23.4, and that split widens on the road—so home-field matters for this team. Meanwhile, John Harbaugh’s Ravens are 4-5 through nine, scoring 25.4 per game and allowing 26.1, with a notable uptick in production in hostile environments: they’ve averaged 28.8 points per game in their four road dates so far.
Layer that into the AFC’s playoff picture—remember, seven make it, the four division winners plus three wild cards—and you get the Ravens trying to claw back toward a postseason lane while Cleveland looks to steady the ship. These franchises know each other as well as any duo in football. Recent form favors Baltimore (3-2 in the last five), but the Browns’ home profile and a spread over a touchdown keep this matchup squarely in betting range. As always with this rivalry, expect a physical script and a couple of momentum swings that could define not just your ticket, but also the rest of November for both sides.
Start with the Best Welcome Bonuses in the U.S.!
| Trustnbet list of Best Sportsbook Bonus & Promo Codes | |
|---|---|
| BetMGM Bonus Code | bet365 Bonus Code |
| Fanatics Bonus Code | Underdog Promo Code |
| Caesars Bonus Code | Draftkings Sign Up Bonus |
| Fanduel Deposit Bonus | List of Best Sportsbook Bonus Promos |
Our betting predictions for the match Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns
Tip 1: Spread — Cleveland Browns +7.5
Our betting tip 1: Spread — Browns +7.5 at -110 with FanDuel Sportsbook. Cleveland’s 2-2 home split with 19.3 points per game in their own building and just 13.5 allowed at home creates a narrower window than their overall record suggests. Baltimore has traveled well on the scoreboard, but the Ravens’ defense has been more bendable than usual this season, conceding 25.8 per game on the road. In a division fight, the hooks matter. Our betting tip: take the Browns to keep it within a possession at +7.5 at -110.
Not sure what to expect at FanDuel? Our FanDuel Sportsbook review covers it all — from odds and promos to app experience and player perks.
Tip 2: Moneyline — Baltimore Ravens
Our betting prediction 2: Moneyline — Ravens at best odds with bet365. If you’re looking for the straight result, Baltimore is the more reliable side. Harbaugh’s offense travels with a 28.8 road scoring average, and the Ravens’ top-end playmaking—particularly in quick-strike moments—has tilted recent meetings. Cleveland’s offense has been inconsistent week to week, making a full upset a taller ask even with the Dawg Pound on their side. Our prediction: Ravens Moneyline, with the expectation that Baltimore finds enough chunk plays to finish the job.
Tip 3: Game Total — Over 41.5
Our prediction 3: Total — Over 41.5 at -110 with bet365. Totals bettors, here’s your angle: the Ravens’ road games have leaned lively thanks to that near-29 points-per-game clip, and Cleveland has quietly scored better at home than away. Factor in short fields that can come from AFC North pass rushes forcing mistakes, and the path to the mid-40s is clear. Even a typical rivalry script—field-position chess and red-zone pivots—still supports a late push. Our betting prediction: Over 41.5 at -110.
Team news
Baltimore’s offense has shown it can pivot week to week, and Harbaugh’s crew typically executes well in late-game, four-minute scenarios. Cleveland remains physical at the point of attack and has gotten better home juice from its defense. Keep an eye on late-week statuses up front for Baltimore and at quarterback/skill positions for Cleveland; trench continuity and QB rhythm will swing how explosive this game becomes, especially against two aggressive fronts that can generate timely pressure.
Cleveland Browns performance check
Kevin Stefanski’s Browns are 2-7 overall, but tougher to move at home. Through nine, they average 16.2 points per game and allow 23.4. At Huntington Bank Field, the numbers paint a brighter picture: about 19.3 points scored per home outing while allowing just 13.5. The Browns’ last five form is 1-4, with the most recent result a 20-27 road loss to the Jets.
The offense’s week-to-week swing has largely hinged on early-down efficiency and avoiding turnovers; when they stay ahead of the sticks, Stefanski can lean into balanced play-calling that helps the defense. Tackling has been solid in Cleveland, and the secondary has flashed with ball skills, but explosive plays allowed on the road have inflated the overall points-against average. Back home, their pass rush often tees off with the crowd behind it, and that’s when they look like a different team.
How is the current performance of the Baltimore Ravens
John Harbaugh’s Ravens sit at 4-5 with a 2-2 road mark. Baltimore is averaging 25.4 points per game while conceding 26.1, but the travel split is compelling: 28.8 scored and 25.8 allowed away from home. The Ravens are 3-2 in their last five, fresh off a 27-19 win at Minnesota. When they’re rolling, the Ravens get into rhythm by marrying their QB-led run elements with timely downfield shots.
Their defense, while opportunistic, has at times given up sustained drives; that’s the piece that can keep opponents hanging around and why laying big numbers can be dicey. Still, Baltimore’s top-end talent has a knack for turning tight games with one explosive series on either side of the ball.
Team Statistics
- – Browns scoring/defense: 16.2 points per game scored; 23.4 allowed across nine games. Home split: 19.3 scored; 13.5 allowed. Away split: 13.8 scored; 31.4 allowed. That’s a meaningful home/road delta and underscores why Cleveland is more live against the spread at home.
- – Ravens scoring/defense: 25.4 scored; 26.1 allowed across nine. Road split: 28.8 scored; 25.8 allowed. The Ravens’ road offense has traveled, and their defense, while giving up some sustained drives, typically tightens in the red zone enough to win the situations that matter.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- – Recent rivalry context: In last season’s late meeting, the Ravens leaned on their power run to put the game away in the second half, and the front seven cashed in on turnover chances. Earlier in that campaign, Cleveland answered with a late touchdown to steal one, showing this matchup swings with just a handful of snap-to-snap decisions.
- – Injuries and availability: In prior meetings, Baltimore’s offensive line health (notably at tackle) and receiver room availability were frequent game-week storylines, while Cleveland’s quarterback plan and pass-catcher health rotated often. Monitor late practice reports; trench continuity and QB clarity can move both the spread and total.
- – Weather and environment: Mid-November by the lake can come with wind and temps dipping toward the 30s. Wind direction matters here—crosswinds can change the deep ball calculus and kick-game reliability. Keep tabs on the forecast Sunday morning and adjust live if gusts pick up.
- – Momentum: Baltimore 3-2 last five, Cleveland 1-4, but the Browns’ home profile routinely tightens margins, especially early when the defense can pin its ears back.
Last direct match: Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens
The most recent head-to-head tilt in Baltimore went the Ravens’ way, 41-17, with Baltimore overwhelming in the second half and flipping field position off turnovers. Over the last five meetings across all settings, the Ravens hold a 3-2 edge. That said, a handful of those games were one-score affairs late into the fourth, consistent with the AFC North reputation for physical, low-margin finishes.
Performance last 5 matches
- – Cleveland Browns: 1 win, 4 losses. The Browns have struggled to stack offense, particularly on the road, where the scoring dips.
- – Baltimore Ravens: 3 wins, 2 losses. Baltimore remains volatile quarter to quarter, but has shown late-game execution that closes doors.
Last match results Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens
- – Browns: 20-27 road loss to the New York Jets. The offense moved the ball in spurts but couldn’t sustain enough late.
- – Ravens: 27-19 road win over the Minnesota Vikings. Baltimore controlled situational football down the stretch and finished in the red zone.
Take your fantasy game to the next level — explore our complete DFS sports betting guide and get the tips, tools, and strategies you need to play like a pro.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re playing this three ways. First, the spread: Browns +7.5 at -110. Home-field advantage sharpens Cleveland’s defense, and the division vibe typically compresses margins. Second, the moneyline: Ravens. Baltimore’s road scoring profile and higher ceiling put them in a better position to take the game outright. Third, the total: Over 41.5 at -110, banking on Baltimore’s traveling offense and Cleveland’s improved home scoring to push this past the low 40s. That combo targets the rivalry’s tight window while leaning into the Ravens’ overall edge.
