Detroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils 11/24/2025
A fun one on tap in Newark: Detroit heads to the Prudential Center to face a New Jersey group that’s been a wagon at home. If you’re sizing this up from a betting angle, you’re weighing the Devils’ home heater against a Red Wings team that’s quietly stabilized after some turbulence. New Jersey has stacked results in their own barn, and that matters. Detroit, meanwhile, enters having grabbed some timely wins, including an overtime nod last time out, while still working out a few leaks in their own end at five-on-five.
Context matters on the schedule, too. It’s an epic Game Day on the slate for these two in this competition round, and the market has leaned toward the home side early at the window. The total is a conversation starter in its own right because both teams create quality looks off the rush and on the power play. If you like actionable edges, this matchup gives you a couple of lanes: home form, the tempo with the puck, and special teams on both sides.
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Our betting predictions for Detroit Red Wings @ New Jersey Devils
Main Tip: Total Over 5.5 Goals
For our primary pick, we lean on the Total Over 5.5 goals at -125 with Fanatics Sportsbook. Why we like it: New Jersey’s attack at home has been crisp, and Detroit’s top six can punch back. The per-game scoring profiles point toward chances both ways: the Devils have been netting roughly 3.4 per outing with just under 3 allowed, while Detroit sits a tick over 3 per game and just north of 3 against. That blend suggests a track meet can break out if special teams get multiple reps. We estimate the Over 5.5 hits about 57% of the time, so getting -125 is playable.
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Tip 2: Moneyline – New Jersey Devils
Why we like it: That home mojo isn’t smoke and mirrors. The Devils have been nearly spotless in Newark and rate as the better five-on-five team in their own rink. Detroit has competed well, but they’re closer to breaking even on the road. Our model lands around a 58% win chance for New Jersey, right in the neighborhood of the implied probability (with best odds at bet365). Edge is modest, but the on-ice matchup and situational spot tilt toward the hosts.
Tip 3: Puck line – New Jersey -1.5
Why we like it: For those looking to ladder into a plus-money angle, New Jersey’s home wins often come with a margin when their forecheck rolls and the top unit cashes on the man advantage. We price the -1.5 about 36–38% to land, depending on goalie confirmation; at +170 with bet365, it’s a small-stakes sprinkle that pairs well with a primary position on the moneyline or the total.
Team Statistics and Form Snapshot
New Jersey Devils (Eastern Conference — Metropolitan)
- Current lens: Listed at 25 points with a strong home profile and a second-place table note in the snapshot — that’s Metropolitan contender territory.
- Scoring profile: About 3.4 goals per game, about 2.9 against. That’s a healthy goal differential on a per-game basis, especially at home, and it backs the moneyline pricing.
- Special teams: The Devils’ power play has the personnel to tilt a game; recent market movement and game flow trends suggest reliable chance creation off the half-wall. The penalty kill has had swings, but on home ice, they’ve stabilized their rotations.
- Goaltending/save trends: The home split has supported a better team save environment. Even when the raw save rate isn’t spiking, New Jersey suppresses middle-lane looks better at the Rock.
- Faceoffs/possession: They’re not dependent on the dot to control games; they generate enough off retrievals and exits to live in the offensive zone.
- Home résumé: 7-0-1 is serious business. When they score first in this building, their structure—backed by the bench’s matchup control—helps them manage the middle frame and protect the house late.
Detroit Red Wings (Eastern Conference — Atlantic)
- Current lens: Snapshot shows 20 points with a middle-of-the-pack story in the Atlantic. The road split sits right around even.
- Scoring profile: Roughly 3.1 per game, allowing about 3.2. That’s just a hair underwater in goal differential per outing, which makes their road task tougher against a home-dominant opponent.
- Special teams: The power play is capable of running up when the top unit touches it early. If they draw multiple minors, they can absolutely keep pace with New Jersey’s man-advantage output. The penalty kill can bend; discipline matters.
- Goaltending/save trends: When the Wings protect the slot line and keep rebounds away from the slot, their numbers hold; when it stretches into track-meet territory, the save environment dips.
- Faceoffs/possession: Detroit is at its best when the breakout is clean and they can attack with speed through the neutral zone.
- Road résumé: Right around .500 away from home. They’ve grabbed wins by pouncing on turnovers and building multi-goal cushions, but closing late on the road can be a challenge against top-six finishing.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
Stars drive outcomes here. For Detroit, Dylan Larkin’s two-way pace and Alex DeBrincat’s finishing give the Wings a real punch at even strength, with Patrick Kane’s distribution still a difference-maker on entries and the power play. For New Jersey, Nico Hischier’s 200-foot game and Simon Nemec’s growing confidence from the blue line are big swings, especially at home with last change. Lineup-wise, reports indicate the Devils have juggled pieces with injuries, including a key top-line scorer listed on IR recently, while activating depth options up front; Detroit has dealt with a day-to-day blue-line illness that could alter pairings. Factor in New Jersey’s home comfort and the ability to pick matchups, and the Devils retain a small but meaningful edge.
Last direct match: New Jersey Devils vs Detroit Red Wings
The most recent meeting went to Detroit on the road by a multi-goal margin. Different rink, different moment, but it’s a reminder the Wings won’t be intimidated in Newark.
Performance last 5 Matches
- New Jersey: 2 wins, 3 losses, coming off a high-event road game that got away early.
- Detroit: 3 wins, 2 losses, most recently cashing an overtime winner at home.
Conference and Division Context
- New Jersey Devils: Eastern Conference, Metropolitan Division — tracking at 2nd within the division based on the current points pace and home dominance.
- Detroit Red Wings: Eastern Conference, Atlantic Division — sitting 1st in the Atlantic, competitive and still searching for a consistent defensive groove on the road.
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TrustnBet Final Thoughts
We’re leaning into the game script more than anything: pace, power plays, and finishing talent on both sides point us toward the total. Over 5.5 at -125 is our favorite angle because both clubs’ per-game scoring and against rates support a high-event runway, and the special teams on either side can add a couple of key swings. On the side, the Devils’ home form is too strong to ignore. The moneyline aligns with our projection, and the implied probability matches what we see on the ice: cleaner exits, better matchups with last change, and confidence in this building. If you’re hunting plus money, a smaller wager on New Jersey -1.5 at +170 makes sense as an add-on; when the Devils get the first one, they tend to extend.
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