New Jersey Devils @ Calgary Flames 01/19/2026
Two clubs chasing steadier footing meet under the lights at Scotiabank Saddledome on Monday night, with New Jersey visiting Calgary in a matchup that has some sneaky betting angles. The Flames have been a touch better lately and typically bring their best at home, while the Devils have been more inconsistent, especially in their own end. Recent form matters when you put your money down, and Calgary’s last outing was a tidy home win, whereas New Jersey is coming off a home setback where the offense never quite found its gear.
Layer in the goaltending storyline—Jacob Markstrom expected for New Jersey against his former club, Dustin Wolf likely for Calgary—and we’ve got volatility in the crease and some real leverage spots in the markets. With the Flames’ playoff urgency and the Devils’ juggling bumps and bruises up front, this one leans toward a grind-it-out feel. Let’s break down the moneyline, totals, and spread for your bet slip.
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Our betting predictions: New Jersey Devils @ Calgary Flames
Main Pick: Totals (Under 6.0)
1) Totals (Under 6.0 at -125 with bet365): I lean Under 6.0 at roughly 56% probability. Calgary’s recent home profile with Wolf has been about structure and fewer high-danger looks against, and the Flames’ offense tends to win with patience rather than trading chances. New Jersey’s scoring rate has cooled in pockets, and if Markstrom brings a measured, rebound-controlled game versus his former team, this can settle into a modest total.
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Tip 2: Moneyline (Calgary)
2) Moneyline (Calgary): Calgary to win at 54% probability, at -118 with DraftKings. The Flames’ home form plus urgency under head coach Ryan Huska gives them a slight edge, and Wolf’s home splits have been notably stronger. With New Jersey’s lineup a bit banged up and some travel miles in play, the situational spot favors Calgary.
Tip 3: Spread (Puck Line) – Calgary -1.5
3) Spread (Puck Line): Calgary -1.5 at 33% probability, about +203 at DraftKings. If the Flames score first and lean into their forecheck, this can tilt late with an empty-netter opportunity. It’s a higher-variance angle, but the price makes sense for a smaller stake alongside the moneyline and total.
Team form snapshot: Calgary’s home edge vs. Devils’ road grind
Calgary Flames (home)
- Overall: 21 wins, 27 losses; 46 points. At home: a positive record with steadier play.
- Scoring/defending: About 2.63 goals per game for, 2.98 against across 48 games—slightly low-event on the scoring side, close to breakeven when they tighten up.
- Last 10: 5-5-0, averaging 2.5 goals and allowing 2.6 per game. That’s a profile of tight margins—and that typically dovetails with Under looks, especially at the Saddledome.
- Goaltending: Dustin Wolf’s recent overall numbers have been choppy, but at home, his rate stats have been strong, the kind you can trust if the team keeps the slot clean and manages second chances.
- Special teams and faceoffs: No dramatic tilt either way lately based on recent tape; Calgary’s been at their best 5-on-5 when they close gaps in the neutral zone and keep contests along the boards.
New Jersey Devils (away)
- Overall: 24 wins, 24 losses; 50 points. On the road: just below even.
- Scoring/defending: Roughly 2.65 goals per game for, 3.10 against in 48. The offense has spurts—especially with Jesper Bratt driving tempo—but the goals-against rate has asked a lot of their netminders.
- Last 10: 4-6-0, averaging 2.1 goals and allowing 3.4 per game—a spread that’s been tough to overcome.
- Goaltending: Per team reports, head coach Sheldon Keefe has Markstrom lined up to start against his former club. He’s steadied a bit outside of one tough outing this month. If he tracks well early, New Jersey’s ceiling rises; if not, Calgary’s forecheck can snowball.
- Special teams and faceoffs: The Devils generate looks through motion and middle-lane drives. When they’re crisp on entries, the power play hums; when puck management dips, they chase too much.
Standings context (by conference/division)
- New Jersey: Eastern Conference, Metropolitan Division. Situationally mid-pack in the Metro race, with room to climb if the defense trims the chances against.
- Calgary: Western Conference, Pacific Division. Right in that Pacific/Wild Card traffic jam, pushing to convert games-in-hand into separation.
Keyplayer Statistics/Momentum/External Factors
- Jesper Bratt is in a groove, stacking multi-point nights recently and threatening team history in helpers; when he’s buzzing, New Jersey’s transition game has rhythm. Nico Hischier and Timo Meier have chipped in timely production, while Cody Glass has integrated well since joining. On the Calgary side, MacKenzie Weegar’s puck movement has sparked layered rushes and kept them clean on exits.
- The crease battle looms large: Wolf’s home form has outpaced his road work, and Markstrom carries that added juice of facing a former club. Coaching matters, too—Ryan Huska’s Flames tend to settle into structure at the Saddledome, and Keefe’s Devils lean on pace when healthy. Availability of Ondrej Palat, Tomas Tatar, and Curtis Lazar is worth tracking; if one or more sit, New Jersey’s forward depth and special-teams rotations get tested.
Last direct match
Calgary won the most recent meeting on the road, continuing a slight head-to-head edge in the last handful of matchups.
Performance last 5 Matches
- Calgary Flames: 3 wins, 2 losses; last game was a confident home win.
- New Jersey Devils: 2 wins, 3 losses; last game was a home stumble against Carolina.
Matchup angles and probability reads
- Goaltending feel: This is where the ice tilts. Wolf has shown real composure at home when Calgary manages the slot and denies lateral seams. Markstrom knows these boards and this crowd. Early touches for him are huge—if he’s quiet and square in the first 10 minutes, the Devils settle. If not, Calgary’s F1/F2 pressure can force turnovers below the dots.
- Puck management: Calgary’s best defense is their forecheck. When they get pucks deep, cycle with purpose, and bring their D down the wall selectively, they lengthen shifts and reduce rushes against. New Jersey will want quick-ups and middle-lane speed; any hesitation at the blue lines feeds Calgary’s counter.
- Special teams: In a tight-total game, one power-play conversion can swing the ticket. Whichever side wins the entries and second pucks on the man-advantage likely drives the expected value tonight.
- Pace picture: Expect a controlled pace early. Calgary’s comfort level grows in that range, and the Under track strengthens if whistles and clean breakouts keep odd-man rushes scarce.
TrustnBet Final Thoughts
Best angle: Under 6.0. The way Calgary is playing at home—cleaner in front of Wolf, measured on exits, deliberate through neutral ice—sets a tone that keeps scoring in check. New Jersey’s recent averages also point to a ceiling unless their top six pop early. At 56%, the value is there. Side: Calgary moneyline. With the Flames’ urgency in the Pacific race and home-ice advantage under Ryan Huska, the 54% clip is playable. The matchup leans to the home side if they score first and keep New Jersey on the outside. Sprinkle: Calgary -1.5. It’s a modest 33% probability, but as a small add-on, it pairs well with the moneyline in the game script where Calgary manages the third period and cashes a late empty-netter.
That’s the card: lean Under, back Calgary on the moneyline, and take a measured swing on the puck line for plus money. Keep an eye on Devils’ lineup confirmations—if Palat and Tatar both go, it bumps New Jersey’s five-on-five depth slightly—but the core thesis holds. Calgary’s home shape and goaltending profile narrow the lanes, and that’s the kind of environment we like to bet into.
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